Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Almanac inquiry - I think kind of garlic can make money this year?
I think kind of garlic can make money this year?
Now, I will go back to the end of 18 with you, and before the Spring Festival 19, see how the experts predicted the attitude and basis of 19 garlic market rise.
1. Due to the favorable market conditions in 20 17, the planting area of garlic in that year increased greatly, which led to a great increase in the output of 20 18, and the oversupply led to a sharp drop in prices, hitting a new low in ten years. A large number of loss-making growers switched to seedling crops, and the garlic planting area decreased by 30%. 202 1, garlic supply will definitely decrease, and the supply will decrease.
The growth of garlic is greatly influenced by the weather. If you don't catch a cold at the end of spring and the pests and diseases are not serious this spring, you can start.
3. The rising cost of planting, pesticide, fertilizer, fuel, labor and transportation may push up the garlic market.
4. Diversified storage methods. The application of cold chain technology can make garlic stored in cold storage for two years, and can also be processed into dried garlic or planted into garlic yellow.
With the increase of export, China has become the first exporter of garlic. China garlic with high quality and low price is very competitive, which can alleviate the pressure of domestic demand.
To sum up, at that time, it was predicted that the price of 202 1 garlic would rise, but the magnitude might not be large. But "garlic you are cruel" is already very cruel now! Experts also lost their glasses, but the analysis is also reliable. As for whether the market in kind of garlic this year is ideal or not next year, if you will think according to the analysis ideas and principles of experts and collect more garlic industry data, you are also an expert, and it is up to you to decide whether to invest or not.
This year is 202 1. Now the garlic sold in our market is planted after the autumn harvest of 20 18. The price of garlic has an obvious upward trend this year. It is no exaggeration to say that the price of garlic has been on the rise since 202 1. Just after the Spring Festival, it was sold to 1.7- 1.9 yuan, and now it has risen to 3.8-3.9 yuan, with a double increase. However, in the face of the upward trend of garlic, it is not recommended to contract land for large-scale garlic planting after this autumn harvest:
The garlic in 202 1 year has brought us great benefits. It is estimated that the benefit of garlic per mu is about 7000 yuan. In this way, the planting area of garlic will expand with the wind this year, and then the total output of 202 1 garlic will increase. According to the current terminal consumption of garlic, the consumption of garlic is still limited. Therefore, when the relationship between supply and demand changes in the economy, the price of garlic will inevitably fall.
Secondly, we are familiar with the function of garlic cycle. For example, at 20 16, the price of garlic is close to 5.2 yuan per catty. At that time, no matter who had never planted garlic before, they began to buy garlic, and garlic farmers who had been planting garlic kept expanding their planting area. At that time, the price of garlic seeds was as high as 6 pounds. 5 yuan per catty. But when 20 17 garlic is harvested, firstly, garlic moss is cheap and no one wants to buy it. I threw away nearly 3 mu of garlic moss, and when garlic was harvested, it was only 0.9- 1. 1 yuan per catty. According to the investment cost of garlic planting, this price is not enough to make ends meet.
As a cash crop, the price of garlic changes rapidly and there are too many uncertain factors. Before planting, you need to investigate the market situation, and you need to be cautious when investing in farming!
I think kind of garlic can make money this year?
As the saying goes: "You lose three years a year! This year, in Jinxiang, Cangshan, Shangqiu and other producing areas, it was learned that the yield per mu of hybrid red garlic was nearly 10 thousand yuan. Some people make a fortune by this and embark on the road to wealth. However, in some years, it encountered a bad market. Planting garlic on a large scale has not brought benefits, but a loss situation, which has seriously damaged farmers' enthusiasm for planting and may lead to years of failure to return to their capital. But no matter how it changes, garlic is still a good cash crop, and now it is favored by producers!
"Garlic cultivation earns three years a year, which is very meaningful! 16 years has a "garlic you malicious" market, the wholesale price of a catty of dried garlic can be as high as 6 yuan; However, the price of 18 is a rare low point over the years. Dry garlic is less than 1 yuan per catty, and fresh garlic is only 40-50 cents per catty. Most of the garlic planted this year is losing money and not making money!
There are many factors to consider whether garlic can make money, such as the demand of garlic, the annual and monthly export volume of garlic, the inventory of garlic storage places, planting area and output. The main factors are the planting enthusiasm and planting area of garlic producers. According to the changing trend of the actual garlic market, it is also one of the sudden factors for garlic buyers and hoarders to drive up the price. In the coming year of garlic market, some hoarders bid up the price in some areas, which jointly raised the price of garlic.
In a field, I communicated with Lao Liu, a garlic farmer, and learned that I have more than 20 years of garlic production experience. With the continuous improvement of agricultural planting technology, I witnessed that the garlic yield can be increased from 1300 kg to 2500 kg. However, due to the improvement of planting structure, the planting area of manager crop garlic has increased sharply, so that the enthusiasm of garlic planting in 18- 19 has decreased, so the price of garlic has risen to a high level by leaps and bounds this year. Under the trend of increasing profits, it is bound to expand the planting area. Some producers with weak ideology will blindly expand the planting area during the period of 10- 1 1. It is expected that garlic production will increase and the price will fall again next year.
As a bystander, Xiaoxi has several suggestions and views on the benefits of garlic planting: First, improve the technical level of planting, strive to improve the planting conditions, and strive to improve the benefits from planting and management! Secondly, be good at grasping the annual price of garlic and try to choose garlic in the rising market. Garlic is easier to make money at this time. Third, when selling garlic, try to be in a period of strong demand. At this time, the demand is large, which is easy to drive the price of garlic higher, such as June-August in summer and during the Spring Festival.
Xiaoxi is expected to be planted this year, the market still exists, and the probability of making money is relatively high.
The above are purely personal opinions and are for reference only. Welcome to criticize and correct me. Original text, the picture comes from the network! ! thank you
There are ups and downs.
As we all know, the situation of garlic in Jinan last year was still very bad. 20 17 sells garlic at a price of about 5 yuan per catty to 6 yuan.
But at 20 18, the price dropped rapidly. Once fell to 7 or 8 cents a catty. The best is only about 4 yuan, so in this case, many people think that this decline is too severe. So has this situation increased compared with this year? In fact, we all know the market situation of the whole planting. If the price of agricultural and sideline products sold goes up, it will definitely fall.
For farmers who plant this problem, it has long been a matter of life and death.
This year's output is lower than last year's
Statistics show that the listing area of 202 1 is about 25% less than that of 20 18.
Therefore, in this case, the overall demand is still rising, but the production capacity of listed products is declining, and the price will definitely rise.
Then this year, the price of garlic in major supermarkets or that place is still very good.
In the market of Kunming, Yunnan, we can actually see that many fresh garlic have been fully listed.
For different quality and different prices, it may increase by about 200% compared with last year.
The price is relatively high this year. A catty of dried varieties is sold in 20 yuan, which means a catty of 10 yuan. Fresh ones cost 5 to 6 yuan a catty.
So this price has increased a lot compared with last year. Faced with this problem, if we say
We have actually seen this in some supermarkets, and the price is relatively high. At one time, it was sold from 9 yuan to 14 yuan, because the price of this product varies from place to place. There will be different situations.
It was unsalable last year and out of stock this year.
Under this circumstance, the slow sales of garlic in Yunnan last year led to a sharp decrease in growers this year.
Faced with this situation, it used to be possible, McDonnell Douglas, 5 yuan a catty, then the average price last year can only be sold, 1 yuan, so it is lower in some places. The highest place only sold 3, 4 yuan.
Therefore, this situation was unsalable last year, so many people lost money, so the price rose sharply this year, because the demand was relatively large, and this year's final warehousing situation seems to be really at a low point in recent years.
So I personally think that in this case, the price trend this year will be very good.
Trends this year
According to the current situation, we have made a detailed analysis of the listing and inventory of this product.
It hasn't appeared in April, and it has been listed in large quantities, so the listing situation should gradually improve from May.
Then the price may drop slightly at this time, so the price may be the lowest around June.
After June, I personally think that in July, the price should rise gradually again.
Therefore, we do not recommend starting to sell products in May or June. Because the price may be low at this time, then we should store this product under the best conditions.
Wait until July and August in the second half of the year before listing. If you think it's risky, then we'll ship some first and keep some. In this case, when we ship some, we can basically recover the cost of this year's price.
Then the remaining part will be listed when the price is high. In this case, what you earn is basically pure profit!
I think kind of garlic can make money this year? For this problem. I can tell you for sure that garlic sellers can make money this year. At present, the purchase price of garlic near Jinxiang has soared to around 6 yuan? If you have tens of thousands of pounds of garlic in your hand now, you can definitely make money.
But if you just want to grow garlic and start buying garlic seeds and investing in garlic this year, then this batch of garlic won't arrive until May or June next year, and it's hard to say whether you can make money then.
First of all, the high price of garlic this year will definitely stimulate many people who have never planted garlic before to participate in garlic planting, and the original garlic farmers will also expand the planting area. So the price of garlic seeds will be high. An acre of land needs about 1 1,000 yuan of garlic seeds. With the input of chemical fertilizer and pesticide film irrigation, an acre of land also needs about 1, 000 yuan, and with the labor money for digging garlic, an acre of land also needs about 1, about 400 yuan. Therefore, kind of garlic will start to invest about 3,400 yuan this year. The yield of garlic per mu is about 3000 kg of wet garlic, which will be reduced by half when it is dried, only about 1.500 kg. If you calculate according to the price of 5 yuan this year, you can make money. If we follow the price of a kilo in 0.5 yuan last year, we will definitely lose money. At present, I don't know whether I can make money, because the price of garlic next year is unknown, but according to the garlic price trend chart in recent years, the price next year will definitely not be as high as this year. Won't make so much money this year. One last word for you. Planting is risky and investment needs to be cautious.
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In fact, the value of garlic seeds fluctuates. There are many reasons, such as weather, man-made and the middleman who collects garlic, which will affect the price of garlic in many ways, so I think he has a budget in mind to grow garlic.
No one can guarantee this. One is to look at the market next year, and the other is to look at your output.
Hello! Garlic is a biennial cash crop. Sow in September 10/day, and harvest in the middle and late May of the following year. It can be seen that the garlic farmers who made money this year were planted in 20 18 years, so they said, "You want kind of garlic, can you make money this year?" This proposition can't be said. The core of clarifying the proposition is that the price of garlic has soared this year. Last year's kind of garlic made money this year. I miss kind of garlic, too. Can you make money next year? This problem is particularly prominent every year when garlic is ruthless. Not only people in non-garlic producing areas are thinking about this problem, but also experienced garlic farmers in garlic core producing areas are thinking about whether to continue planting or reduce planting area in autumn. ! According to the experience of 20 10 and 20 16 rounds of high-priced garlic, when the price of garlic is high, it will lead to large-scale expansion in that year, and some non-dominant areas will follow suit. Therefore, the price drop in the next 1 13 years will lead to your misery. This year, the net profit of garlic per mu can reach ten thousand yuan. In 2065,438+08, the profit per mu of garlic is about 1000 to 3,000 yuan, which is still the capital preservation. In 2065,438+07, it is a loss. The average annual profit of garlic per mu for three years is about 4000 yuan. To tell the truth, some township governments in major garlic producing areas are also encouraging and supporting garlic farmers to adjust their planting structure and plant strawberries or other efficient fruits and vegetables in greenhouses to avoid or reduce the adverse impact on economic income when garlic prices are low. The income from planting garlic is closely related to the timing of selling garlic. The income difference between selling garlic in high price period and selling garlic in low price period is about more than one third. It is difficult for garlic farmers in non-main producing areas to know the real-time price information in time, and the income per mu will be much lower than that in main producing areas. The high price of garlic also drives the price of garlic seeds to rise, increasing the planting cost. According to experience, the price of garlic is high this year, and the risk of low garlic price next year is also great. To sum up, if friends from non-main producing areas have planting projects with an average profit of 3-4 thousand yuan per mu, it is recommended not to follow the trend of planting garlic in autumn. If they can't find efficient planting projects, they will go to kind of garlic with a gambling mentality.
Kind of garlic is sure to make money this year! Last June and July, one kilogram of garlic was in 6 yuan-7 yuan. In June and July this year, a catty of garlic from 8 yuan to 9 yuan can reach a catty of garlic in 5 yuan. Garlic is more expensive every year, and the price of garlic is higher every month. It is expected that 9 yuan ~ 10 yuan will be available in the garlic market next year. I think friends who grow garlic can buy garlic seeds! In another month or two, the price of garlic seeds will definitely rise at the peak. Do a good job in production first, and hope to have a good harvest and sell it at a good price in the coming year.
Plant this year, next year 1 yuan a catty.
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