Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Almanac inquiry - What will happen to the trend of pig prices in 2022?
What will happen to the trend of pig prices in 2022?
Ideally, according to the time calculation, the excess sow production capacity before 1 1 will be digested around the middle of 2022, which means that the market will reach the balance point between supply and demand around the middle of 2022, and the pig price will return to a relatively reasonable price in the middle of 2022. At this time, pig farmers will have meager income and market consumption will not be too constrained, but the market will never be static.
At this time, the official lower limit of sows can play a role. When the stock of fertile sows falls to the lower limit of normal stock, the government will intervene in pig production, so that the imbalance between supply and demand in the market will not be too serious and the fluctuation of pig price will not be too great, so that the whole pig industry will develop steadily, which means that the trend of pig price will tend to be flat in 2022.
Based on the above analysis, the pig price will show a "V" trend in 2022. The left side of the "V" will show a downward trend in the first half of the year and bottom out again around the middle of the year. The right side of "V" will show an upward trend in the second half of the year. However, due to the formulation of the capacity control model, the upper limit of pig price in 2020 will no longer be realized in the history that will be recorded forever, and the dream of pig farmers to get rich by raising pigs will be shattered.
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