Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - The 24 Solar Terms - Stock market 24 solar terms

Stock market 24 solar terms

Everything is closely related. You have no reason to say that two things are absolutely unrelated, and you can't say that two things are absolutely related. For example, in February 14, 20 12, the Oriental Hotel, a concept stock, had a strong daily limit on Valentine's Day. Can you say that Valentine's Day has nothing to do with the skyrocketing stock market? For example, on February 4, 2065438, the Oriental Hotel fell by 1.4%. Can you say that Valentine's Day has nothing to do with the stock market? number

No, 20 15 Valentine's Day is closed on Saturday, and there is no performance at Oriental Hotel. In fact, in addition to technical analysis and fundamental analysis, the way investors in China stock market can also open their eyes to onlookers. The Valentine's Day mentioned above is a holiday effect. Traditional holidays have the greatest impact on the stock market for more than three days, followed by Chinese and western holidays that do not have holidays, and then the 24 solar terms of Chinese treasures.

The cycle of solar terms means a new beginning, but for us, we don't want a big cycle in the stock market, as long as we keep oscillating. "The two festivals will not change every month, with a difference of one or two days at most. Sixty-one in the first half of the year and eighty-three in the second half. " The twenty-four solar terms are divided according to the position of the sun on the ecliptic (that is, the orbit of the earth around the sun). Since the sun starts from the vernal equinox, every advance of 15 degrees is a solar term, and 360 degrees returns to the vernal equinox for one week.

Although solar terms are not closely related to the stock market, they are not unrelated. These two charts are the market and solar terms of Shanghai Composite Index from 20 14 to 20 14, 20 14,14 to 20 15 on April 3.

From the two pictures I marked, I don't know if you can find that some solar terms are at the top or bottom of the stage, some are small points in the process of shock, and some are invisible in the upward trend. Because whether the solar term is an important turning point is only a relative concept. For example, A shares started the runaway mode at 20 14 1 1, and the corresponding solar term at that time was "light snow".

Among the 24 solar terms, "light snow" is not as important as "winter solstice". However, during the winter solstice of 20165438+1October 22, the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuated briefly and showed no performance. This is because the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect opened by Xiaoxue a few days ago was exhausted, and the policy expectation was favorable, which pushed the stock market to rise. Before the "winter solstice", the CSRC relied on big data to investigate and deal with violations of market stock price manipulation, and directly named 18 listed companies. And announced that it would continue to carry out special law enforcement actions to crack down on market manipulation, which suppressed the market in a short time.

It can be said that the 24 solar terms are an emotional expression of the market. Ask Chinese medicine practitioners and you will know that the 24 solar terms also have an impact on people. Whether it is coincidence or not, it can be used as an analysis reference. Looking at overseas markets, the stock markets of various countries and the 24 solar terms are more or less consistent at some time points; Judging from the performance of A-shares, 24 solar terms is mostly a transitional turning point in the market.

Judging from the historical market, "beginning of spring" often becomes the beginning of the turning point of the cycle, which has a certain relationship with the significance of "beginning of spring, a year is in spring"; When it comes to "rain" and "shock", the stock market tends to continue its previous trend when it recovers naturally; At the "vernal equinox", day and night are flat, and there may be a turning point; With the emergence of two small turning points, Qingming and Grain Rain, the big turning point often appears around the long summer. For example, in 20 14, the A-shares of Changxia fell to 199 1, and Big bounce appeared. Xiaoman, Mangzhong, Summer Solstice and Xiaohan continued this turning point in the hot summer, and another turning point appeared in Daxia, and this big market started around July 22, 20 14.

From late summer to autumn, "beginning of autumn", "Chushu" and "Bailu" make the weather cool and the market more volatile; After the autumnal equinox, the transition inflection point of solar terms will spread to cold dew, first frost, beginning of winter, light snow, heavy snow, winter solstice and slight cold. After the Great Cold, 24 solar terms ended a cycle of reincarnation, which will be in line with the trend of "beginning of spring" layout in the medium term.

Many investors have learned "Jiang En Lun" (Editor's Note: Jiang En Lun is a circular digital map, in which the number extends from 1 to 360, which is a mysterious market analysis technique), which can also be called the study of the twenty-four solar terms to some extent. Gann believes that the market has short, medium and long cycles. "The Wheel in the Wheel" breaks down a 360-degree week into 24 equal parts, each of which is 15 degrees, and grows counterclockwise from 0 degrees, much like 24 solar terms. The time period of the "middle wheel Gann wheel" is a spiral cycle, not a closed one. Just like when "the years are similar, the years are different", there is a stock market that is "strikingly similar in history, but it will not be completely repeated".

In fact, the solar term effect is also related to the skirt effect. When women generally choose short skirts and put them away, the stock market will also rise. On the contrary, when women wear long skirts and the skirts hang down, the market is gradually falling. This theory holds that the shorter a woman's skirt, the more prosperous the economy will be. With the arrival of summer, more and more women will start to choose dresses. With the advancement of solar terms, these dresses may become shorter and shorter, which also means that "the economy is getting better and better, and the stock market is getting better and better".

Of course, the similarity between solar terms and the rhythm of the stock market is only based on historical analysis, and we can use it as a reference. In actual combat, it is still necessary to combine fundamental and technical analysis such as economic foundation, company situation, national policy and market confidence. After all, the stock market is risky and investment needs to be cautious.