What is the weather expected for the Spring Festival this year?

The Spring Festival in 2023 will be even colder. According to the forecast of the Central Meteorological Observatory, the intensity of cold air will gradually increase from late October to February in 2023, and the temperature in most parts of Inner Mongolia, Northeast China, North China, Central China, West South China, East and North Southwest China and Northwest China will be lower than normal.

Is the winter in 2022-2023 cold or warm?

The former is warmer in winter, while the latter is colder in winter.

Recently, the National Climate Center of China Meteorological Bureau predicted the temperature situation this winter: the temperature in most parts of the country will be close to the same period of the year or on the high side, with obvious characteristics of temperature changes in stages, with the former being warmer and the latter being colder. So it is neither cold winter nor warm winter.

According to the forecast of the National Climate Center, the temperatures in various regions of China this winter are as follows:

The temperatures in eastern and western Inner Mongolia, northeastern China, most of southern China, southeastern China and central and eastern Northwest China are lower than normal, with the temperatures in northeastern Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, western Shaanxi, central and eastern Gansu, northeastern Qinghai and Ningxia being lower 1 ~ 2℃.

The temperature in other parts of the country is close to the same period of the year, and it is higher in Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, northeastern Jiangxi, Shandong, eastern Henan and northeastern Hubei 1 ~ 2℃.

How to judge warm winter and cold winter?

The basic factor to judge the cold and warm in winter is the average temperature in winter (12 to February of the following year), which is divided into three levels in space: single station, regional and national.

Single station: if the average temperature anomaly of a single station is greater than or equal to 0.43 times the standard deviation, it is warm winter; On the contrary, if the average temperature anomaly of a single station is less than or equal to -0.43 times the standard deviation, it is a cold winter;

Judging from the number of regional stations, the number of warm winter stations exceeds 50% of the number of stations, which is warm winter; Cold winter is when the number of stations exceeds 50% of the total number of stations;

As far as the effective area of the whole country is concerned, the warm winter area exceeds 50% of the effective area of the whole country, which is warm winter; The area of cold winter exceeds 50% of the total number of stations, which is called cold winter.

Generally speaking, the winter from 2022 to 2023 is close to the same period of the year, with the former warmer and the latter colder. It is neither cold nor warm.