Will the temperature drop in Nanning during the Spring Festival? About how many degrees?

Forecast of Climate Trend in Western China in February 2065 438+00

I. General situation of climate

1 and climate in February

In February, the average monthly temperature in all parts of our region was 7. 1 ~ 16.0℃, and the average temperature in the whole region was 12.6℃. Monthly precipitation19.8 ~114.5 mm, with an average of 57.3 mm in the whole region. February is in late winter and early spring, cold air activity is still frequent, while warm air becomes active. Cold and warm air often passes through South China, which is prone to low temperature and rainy weather.

The main meteorological disasters in February include drought, low temperature and rainy weather, cold wave and fog.

2. Early climate characteristics

During 20 10, the average temperature is 7.6 ~ 16.0℃, which is 0. 1 ~ 2.7℃ higher in most areas and 12. 1℃ higher in the whole area. The precipitation 1.5 ~ 305. 1mm is 30% ~ 5 times higher than other areas except Xilin and Longlin. The average precipitation in the whole region is 127.3mm, which is 2. 1 times more than normal, and the average precipitation in the whole region is 19538. 2 1 ~ 24, a cold wave and a rare large-scale heavy rainfall weather process occurred in our area, with 68 stations as the main rainstorm station.

2.2065 February climate trend forecast 438+00

1, general trend forecast

It is estimated that the average temperature in most parts of Guangxi in February is 0. 1 ~ 0.5℃ higher than normal. The precipitation in northeast Guangxi is more than 1 ~ 20%, and less than 1 ~ 30% in most other areas.

2, the average temperature forecast

It is estimated that the average temperature in northern Guilin and Sanjiang in Liuzhou in February will be 8.0 ~ 10.0℃. The temperature in southern Guilin, most of Liuzhou and Hezhou, and northeastern Hechi is 10.0 ~ 12.0℃. It is 12.0 ~ 14.0℃ in northern and southern Baise, western and southern Hechi, northern Nanning and Wuzhou, Guigang and most mountainous areas of Laibin, and 14.0 ~ 16.0℃ in other areas of our region. Compared with the normal period, the average temperature in most areas is 0. 1 ~ 0.5℃ (figure 1).

3. Rainfall forecast

Estimated rainfall in February: Guilin, Hezhou100 ~150 mm; Liuzhou, Wuzhou and Guigang in the east of Laibin and 60 ~100 mm in the north of Yulin; Most of Baise is less than 20 mm; The remaining area is 20 ~ 60 mm. Compared with the same period of normal years, the northeast of Guangxi is more 1 ~ 20%, and most other areas are less 1 ~ 30%. (Figure 2).

4. Forecast of main cooling and precipitation weather processes

It is estimated that the main cooling and precipitation periods in February generally appear in the early, middle and early stages, with light rain; In the early mid-term, there was light rain and moderate to heavy rain in some areas; From the end of the mid-term to the beginning of the late period, it is small to moderate rain and partial heavy rain; In the evening, it began to rain lightly.

Three. suggestion

1. It is expected that the temperature will change greatly in February, so it is necessary to pay attention to prevent staged severe cooling and frost and freezing disasters, and do a good job in cold protection and health care.

2. As February is one of the months with less rainfall in our region, please pay attention to the scientific and rational allocation of water, make arrangements for spring ploughing water, and pay attention to the fire prevention work before and after the Spring Festival.

March and February are the peak periods in Spring Festival travel rush, so we should pay attention to travel safety and prevent traffic accidents caused by cold, rain and fog.

Guangxi Climate Center

20 10 10 It is estimated that it will drop by about 5 degrees.