The brokerage plate from 20 years in July anger wave to now fell a large part of the deep set, when the rebound?

The brokerage plate from 20 years in July rose a wave of anger to now fell a large part of the deep set, the big rebound to wait for a comprehensive registration system and other policy benefits, small rebound at any time, you can use the wave operation to reduce costs, do not easily cut meat, time for space, wave operation, etc., and ultimately, can be unlocked and even profit!

Specific analysis:

One. The full registration system will be a big rebound

The full registration system is certainly good for the brokerage, with reference to last year's GEM registration system market, the brokerage will be a big rebound.

After all, the brokerage plate from July and August last year to now, finishing about half a year, not only did not rise, but broke down. Many people are just so trapped.

At present, the market other industry sectors basically have risen, only the brokerage plate seriously lagging, once there is a big policy favor, the brokerage plate will explode.

By the time the plate will appear within the doubling of stocks, a lot of people can also be unlocked.

II. Small rebound recently more frequent

Recently, the brokerage plate is frequently different, the plate within the stock stops from time to time.

Often in the case of intraday sharp rise, this is not considered a small rebound?

From a technical point of view, the current brokerage also has a double-bottomed trend, the mood has also recovered.

More small rebound, indicating that it is the accumulation of momentum, and constantly tamping the foundation, when the time comes is a big rebound, a flight to the sky.

Three. The use of wave operation, reduce costs

Deep set which I have had the taste, bitter, a word, you can use the brokerage to do wave operation, reduce costs.

Familiar with my friends know that I only do the brokerage, I am in the brokerage down, almost bought, up in the process of reducing the position, a small decline in small buy, a small rise in small sell.

If there is a big fall or sharp fall, I will buy big, surge sharp pull, sell directly, that is, big fall big buy, big rise big sell.

The brokerage wave operation, or relatively easy, constantly reduce costs, and ultimately I am every time out of the profit.

In short, deep set brokerage stocks, do not easily cut meat, after all, the probability of brokerage delisting is very small, are deliberately suppressed by the agency, the technology is not good, the time for space, technology can be, the use of wave operation, reduce costs, and ultimately can be unsettled!

Personal opinion, for reference only!

The brokerage plate is the retailer's gathering place, the retailers piled into the brokerage, waiting for the brokerage outbreak when the brokerage tumbled; when the brokerage plate in the back course of the technology plate, the early technology stocks continue to fall, many technology stocks how up and how to fall back, fall up six relatives do not recognize.

Technology has been the retailer injury, the very optimistic about the harvest of the technology board; in recent months, the retailers are optimistic about the brokerage firms again to the retailer injury, and a number of retailers harvested.

The stock market is the retailer's harvester, as long as the retailer piled up to go where, which plate itself to rise, the result is the yin and yang; nearly 8 months, I believe that the brokerage plate of the retailer, the heart must have a deep understanding, the stock market is the retailer's harvester, the stock market has become the major institutions of the cash machine.

At this point, many retail investors have been set by the brokerage firms, and there is a mild or moderate state of being set, which is an indisputable fact. Brokerage plate in recent months has fallen as much as 30% 40%, many retail investors have been set by the brokerage firms can not move.

Well, the brokerage sector is not easy to see the hope, the news that Jingdong acquisition of Gujin Securities, as well as the brokerage firms to join forces to merge, but ultimately all come to naught, are unable to make the brokerage sector to stop falling, back to the uptrend.

Many retail investors have been heartbroken about the brokerage, has been completely desperate, are looking forward to the brokerage plate up as soon as possible, so that their hands of the stock as early as possible to unlock, that the brokerage plate when the end of the stumbling trend? When will it rebound?

In response to these questions I believe that many retailers are very concerned about, to wait for the brokerage plate to end the decline, ushered in a comprehensive rebound or reversal of the pull-up, the need to reach the following two conditions:

First, when the brokerage plate fell, retailers are completely desperate for brokerage, the meat cut meat, the insistence on insisting that the entire brokerage Very downturn when the brokerage is the opportunity.

Secondly, when the end of the current round of stage market, is the day of the brokerage firms to stop falling, but also brokerage firms ushered in the rebound or reversal of the time.

So as long as the brokerage plate to reach these two conditions, which first to first up, as long as one of the above conditions are met, will stimulate the brokerage plate will usher in the rebound.

In accordance with these two conditions, combined with the actual situation of the current brokerage plate, the first condition has been relatively close, if the brokerage plate next to fall again a step, I believe that a lot of retail investors will not be able to bear it, will choose to cut the meat out of the game, when the brokerage floating chips are cut meat, the brokerage plate will be up, according to this speculation, the brokerage plate adjustment has been close to the end of the soon to be up.

If the A-share market from the current round of stage adjustment, the market adjustment is not yet over, is expected to be tossed a few months, these months will be tossed back and forth, the overall will go down to adjust the trend, will not appear to continue to fall, to take the fall rebound, and then again down to rebound the tossing pattern.

Meaning that the next brokerage plate rebound time will certainly be in the second half of the year, that is, after June. But it must be clear that the brokerage plate will be in advance of the market to stop falling, will be in advance of the market into the counterattack pull up market.

In short, now we do not go blindly predict when the brokerage plate will stop falling, when will rebound? This who are not able to accurately predict, predicting these frankly not much value at all.

It is recommended that retail investors face the current trend of brokerage plate fall, temporarily choose to resist, simmering, on the contrary, there are still positions of retail investors can take the more down the more complementary way, sure that as long as the brokerage down is the opportunity for low absorption.

Because the brokerage plate in the medium term continue to look good, as long as the A-share bull market is still there, the brokerage market will not easily fall, at any time will become the main force pulling up the market, the bull market in the brokerage will never be absent.

So no matter what is now being set by the brokerage, or ready to enter the brokerage, now rest easy, rest assured that waiting for the brokerage plate adjustment end. The brokerage plate is already in the bottom stage, the adjustment will soon end, once the adjustment ends the brokerage comprehensive counterattack opportunities will come, wait and see.

It seems that the brokerage plate does have a lot of retailers in the concern, I have answered a few earlier, this time I will analyze a little more in-depth, and then no longer answer such questions. It is estimated that not only the new stockholders to buy, may be more old stockholders also bought, because we all think that the past big bull market in the brokerage is a popular plate will rise undoubtedly, so it is heavy to buy brokerage stocks, did not think that this performance is so poor, see this friend think about yourself is not this idea into the field. So brokerage stocks have a chance? I think if the market can break through 3750 points will have the opportunity, because only then the volume can be enlarged, brokerage performance will grow. As the bull market has been different from the previous bull market, after the efforts of the regulatory layer of the Chinese market is more mature, is no longer a swarm of all the stocks rose, and then a swarm of down to complete the walk is a structural bull market, in front of the institutions holding shares rose is proof that if this is the way the brokerage firms difficult to have a sustained opportunity, only phased opportunities, I can judge the recent 1, 2 months the market should be a shock market! I can judge that in the last 1,2 months the market should be a shock market, although it will not fall, but it is also difficult to rise, so the brokerage firms should also be almost the trend. The above judgment is based on the current situation that I said, if the future has a large external cause of change on a different argument.

To plate index analysis, brokerage plate since the high point in July 2020 so far fell only 24%, to say is "deep set", either the subject's mental capacity is not high, or really invested in the stock has been falling. To ask when the brokerage plate rebound, I think in the prediction of when the rebound before, more need to understand why the brokerage plate fell and the trend of the law, only to figure out the background, in order to better answer the question of the subject.

1, why the brokerage plate fell? In the A-share market, the brokerage plate is very special, special to this is not a cyclical stock, but the trend of cyclical stocks, and by the heat of the market, when the market investment heat is high, no matter whether the plate has no good performance can rise up, on the contrary, when the market heat is low, especially when the stock market continues to fall, no matter what the performance of the constituent companies of the plate will follow the fall. Both cyclical and affected by market heat.

And this time the brokerage sector continued to fall, the fundamental reason is that the current market heat continues to cool, and heat cooling caused by the withdrawal of market funds, the stock market as a whole also showed a decline, such a background also caused the brokerage sector funds have outflow trend, and the number of accounts began to go down on the outlook for the future performance of negative expectations. Therefore, the result is the decline of the brokerage sector.

2, the brokerage sector trend law is how? Although the brokerage plate is not a cyclical stock, but from the past years trend analysis has a rule to follow, roughly "ups and downs, long disk in the bottom" trend, that is, the bull market can rise, the bear market will fall, and so on the shock of the market will be long at the bottom of the disk, and this trend has a cyclical law. And now in what stage it? 2015 "leveraged bull" brokerage plate soared, "stock market crash" is a big fall, 2016 so far, from the presentation of the trend is considered a relative range of oscillation. From the stage point of view, now or in the "long disk at the bottom" of the end of the time.

3, when the brokerage plate rebound? To analyze the current market situation, the brokerage sector fell, mainly because the market as a whole showed a decline in the sector caused by the negative forecast led. Since this is the case, then when the market stabilized, the brokerage sector naturally also stabilized. For the subject, I think the subject can be based on the law of the brokerage sector trend, superimposed on the market situation to develop a reasonable implementation strategy, not "set" only one way, there are many ways to differentiate risk.

Brokerage, similar to this kind of Q&A Chaos brother has written 6, on the brokerage why would have been more than negative? Next will not become the flag bearer of the bull market?

These are the first time I've seen a lot of people in the world who are interested in the world, and I've seen a lot of people in the world who are interested in the world.

Last year or so. Once a year.

For brokerage stocks, although I am more concerned, but seldom color. Look at an industry, not only look at the present, but also look at the development. Unlike some people, only look at the market performance. The market performance is too much affected by the news and capital, resulting in a change in stock prices, it is difficult to guarantee that you will not lose money.

First of all, the development of brokerage stocks. Revenue is divided into several major pieces, the more important trading commissions. Commissions are always in a declining channel, remember the earliest, the trading commission is three thousandths, to now is basically three ten thousandths. There are lower than that. With the expansion of the market size, institutional investors account for a larger and larger proportion, whether the frequency of transactions or commissions, are lower than ordinary retail investors. As value investing continues, the overall market turnover rate will also continue to decrease. A large number of high-quality stocks are locked up, and foreign investors trade A-shares through Hong Kong stocks, which will also affect the commission income of domestic brokerage firms. Intense competition in the same industry and the rise of online brokers will also affect the revenue of traditional brokers. Large central enterprises, state-owned enterprises listing peak period has passed, it seems that there are constantly new shares listed, but the size of the small, brokerage sponsor income is not what it used to be. Although the increase in trading varieties, market maker system, bond issuance, financing and securities will increase brokerage income, but after all, the brokerage profiteering era has ended. In recent years, brokerage firms have repeatedly occurred mine incidents, the image of brokerage stocks have a very bad impact. And the leading brokerage stocks, but also often embarrassed. Originally poor market performance, and then launched a share placement program. Originally because of a large number of holdings of empty single is suspected of shorting the stock market, and continuously for Guizhou Maotai platform, shouting once 3000 broken once 2000, visible market attitude towards CITIC Securities in the change. Train running fast, all depends on the front end with, the front end of the train with the ditch to go, it is no wonder that the brokerage stocks tumbled. Then there are a few riots in 2020 brokerage stocks, increasing the price difference between A.H. shares, H-shares to A-share brokerage stocks to produce a pull-down effect. What's more, since CITIC Securities has been controlled by "northbound funds", domestic institutions have lost the right to speak, so for brokerage stocks, it is best to remain cautious. Personally, I believe that the big bull market is a prerequisite for the start of brokerage stocks, the current bull market is only the initial stage. The future is bright, the road is winding, and cherish it!

It's hard to say now, need opportunity. As the saying goes, the times make the heroes,

Securities brokers can't just go up. This is the same as the banking sector.

Look at all these years, how much did the banks go up? Especially the five major banks, of course, the postal genus of new stocks, not the same treatment. The lowest valuation of the banking sector, the best dividends, the most secure funds, why buy fewer people? Because the stock price does not rise, and then a gold lump are not many people to buy, the natural stock price will not rise.

The same is true for the brokerage firms, the brokerage firms act as a special role in the market, that is, the rallying cry, once the brokerage firms began to rise sharply, the market will think that this is the beginning of a bull market.

So, the brokerage firms have to wait until the market are recognized should open a wave of bull market market, there will be funds to invest, the brokerage sector rose, and then blow up the stock market rallying cry, and then more money into the stock market, so as to open a round of the bull market

Last year, the brokerage firms rose, and then opened up a small bull market market.

If the high level is set to rebound or not rebound has not much meaning. The current trend of the brokerage is basically a negative bottoming out stage, full of sets of experienced veterans cut part of the rebound and then low take back, thinning the cost. The newbie then lie down and play dead.

When to rebound do not know! But "every year" the plate or individual stocks have a wave of more than 20 up, plus bullets or patience to hold, so that the amount of your set at about 10% or less, do not make money not to go!