Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Traditional stories - Is it credible to buy football backwards?
Is it credible to buy football backwards?
Gamblers and stock gods often appear in gambling, stocks and other similar financial management fields. Looking at their "great achievements", people are often excited and passionate, giving me the illusion that I didn't even shoot my thighs. If you do this, you will find yourself with a high probability of losing everything.
Blindly betting on a small probability event with a small fight is usually the leek in the end, and even if it fails, it cannot be accurately attributed. Finally, they create gambler psychology and lose more. Learn more, especially the knowledge of probability and statistics, and learn scientific sampling methods and scientific statistical methods. Broaden your horizons, learn to analyze problems from multiple angles, especially the ability of information collection, sampling and analysis, and then comprehensively evaluate the probability of success.
World Cup competition
The World Cup continued to be unpopular, with Argentina 1:2 losing to Saudi Arabia and Germany 1:2 losing to Japan. In the case of surprise, the probability is generally high. In Argentina, for example, the odds are 70 to 80 times. So a friend saw dozens of odds lottery tickets that others had exposed in the circle of friends, and his heart itched. They began to wonder if they could buy football backwards, and the villa was close to the sea.
"Survivor bias" is a classical logical fallacy in the field of statistics, and it is a kind of sampling that "generalizes the whole with some samples". In statistics, local samples are used to replace the whole sample, and the results are imposed on the whole. The above concept may still be a bit academic. A simpler understanding is that inappropriate sampling samples were selected during the investigation and statistics, which led to a serious deviation from the facts.
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