Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Traditional stories - What are the economic, political, cultural and military cooperation and conflicts between China and foreign countries?
What are the economic, political, cultural and military cooperation and conflicts between China and foreign countries?
When an ant breaks into a China shop, it must keep quiet. When a bull breaks in, the situation is completely different-this is a portrayal of the international community after China's economy entered the 2 1 century.
In 2003, China's exports to foreign countries were frequently subject to anti-dumping. After American enterprises went abroad, some unexpected frictions occurred (for example, China's factory strikes in South America and South Korea), and the assassination of Guangdong businessmen in South Africa and the burning of shoes in Spain broke out on September 28th this year. The non-commercial risks of Chinese businessmen seem to increase sharply in this era. The reason behind this is that the rise of China and the collision with the international community are bringing China into an "era of international friction".
We must look at the "international economic friction" that China has encountered from a strategic and historical perspective and from the perspective of the rise of great powers. In fact, Americans saw the rise of China earlier than we did. As early as the last century, during the negotiation of China's accession to the WTO, an American think tank suggested to Clinton that China must join the WTO, and it was extremely dangerous to leave China alone outside the WTO. The reason is that China will become an economic power. From a historical perspective, the most important event in the 20th century is not the establishment of the Soviet Union and the disintegration of the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, nor the Second World War, but the rise of China, which will change the world order.
China's economy is growing rapidly. Although we are still in a medium height in terms of economic aggregate, China has become a "superpower" in terms of economic increment and contribution to global economic growth, and its influence on the world economy is increasing day by day. In 2002, the total GDP of China was $65,438 +0.25 trillion, which was less than 4% of the global share, and only one eighth of the total GDP of the United States and one quarter of that of Japan at the exchange rate of that year. China's contribution to the new share of global GDP reached 17.5%, second only to the United States.
According to the statistics of the World Bank, during the 20 years from 1980 to 2000, the annual contribution rate of China's economic growth to the world's GDP (calculated by purchasing power parity) was 14%, second only to the United States' 20.7%. China's international trade has maintained an annual growth rate of 5% in these 20 years, and the contribution rate of trade growth to world trade is 4.7%, second only to 14.4% in the United States and 6.9% in Japan. In manufacturing industry, although China's manufacturing exports accounted for only 5% of the global total in 2002, its growth rate accounted for 29% of the global growth. In addition, China occupies an important position in the contribution rate of import and export growth of bulk products such as grain, oil and primary industrial manufactured goods.
Gobind Nannika, Vice President of the World Bank, publicly stated that China's economy is a fast-growing economy and has made important contributions to global economic growth. We can boldly predict that China, as a "superpower" of economic growth, will surpass France, Britain and Germany in recent years, and catch up with Japan in 20 years, making China the second largest country in the world.
The inevitable stage of China's rise is international economic friction, and it will be embodied as a typical "great power friction". The author divides the rise of China into three stages, including the era of international friction. First, in the last 20 years of the 20th century, China was a preparatory period for the rise of a great power, and the international economic friction was in a hidden stage. Second, the rapid rise of China as a big country and the increasingly obvious international economic friction will probably take more than 20 years; Thirdly, it will be about 20 years before China will be accepted as a new big country and achieve a new international balance. At present, China is entering a period of international economic friction for at least 20 years. The international economic friction that China is facing at present is not accidental, but inevitable, not tactical, but strategic. At this time, the role of diplomacy is becoming more and more important, and it is also changing quietly: from pure political diplomacy and relational diplomacy to economic diplomacy. "Economic diplomacy" is not only reflected in Spain's shoe burning and other incidents, but also in more strategic issues such as obtaining international energy, ensuring energy and raw material transportation lines.
This means that the expansion of China's economy will increasingly lead to the expansion of China's diplomatic, political and military resources. I had an unforgettable conversation with barzel, the American Deputy Commercial Representative in charge of China business in the Bush administration. During this period, some netizens asked barzel why the United States likes to intervene in international affairs. Barzel's answer is that the United States is not a country that likes to interfere in other people's affairs. In fact, for a long time, the United States has long pursued "isolationism" and likes to sweep the snow at the front door, regardless of other people's frost. However, when the American economy is developing day by day and American citizens enter the world for trade and investment, the American government has the responsibility to shoulder the task of protecting the legitimate interests of its citizens and protecting their property rights from infringement in all countries of the world.
Barzel's words have the meaning of defense, but there is also some truth. From what he said, I think that one day, when China's economy becomes strong and China businessmen go global, the responsibility of the China administration to "protect property rights" and protect the interests of its citizens will also push China's diplomacy into a brand-new era of "economic diplomacy", and China's military and politics will also undergo corresponding changes. China claims peaceful rise, but peaceful rise is not so much a strategy as a goal. To achieve a peaceful rise, we actually need to take strength as the backing, diplomacy as the long-sleeved dance, and implement various changes. How to protect our economic interests as much as possible through diplomatic means, including official diplomacy and non-governmental diplomacy, will increasingly become the primary task of diplomacy.
During this period, businessmen and entrepreneurs in China need to recognize the situation clearly, closely consider the pace of their overseas expansion under the background of the international friction era, work closely with the government, especially the foreign affairs department of the government, vigorously develop various non-governmental organizations (such as trade associations), strive to expand non-governmental diplomacy, and give up going it alone to take care of the ceiling of enterprise development and ensure the safety floor of enterprises.
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