China's economy is crossing the middle-income trap, a time span that may last about 15 years.

China's economy is crossing the middle-income trap, a time span that may last about 15 years.

The essence of the "middle-income trap" is that the country's industrial upgrading has stagnated before it enters the high-income bracket, and it has lost the space for continued growth. We have been in the process of consumer demand generating industrial development and then industrial upgrading since the reform and opening up until now.

Each of our industrial upgrading, the basic path of development is basically the same - Chinese people have high savings, the state and enterprises have money to spend ---- At this current stage, a category of consumer demand with a huge market has emerged ---- We have introduced foreign mature technology, quickly and without risk to form a huge industrial scale ---- When the domestic market is saturated, we can quickly occupy the international market by utilizing the advantage of production cost. Then usher in the next industrial upgrade.

Our industrial upgrading was spearheaded by the cycle of "growing consumer demand" and "related industries".

Before the mid-80s, we were short of clothes, which created a need for light industries such as textile.

From the late 80s to the early 90s, the demand for home appliances gave rise to the development of a number of technology-intensive industries.

From the mid-90s to the new century, people's lives in all aspects of the improvement of the requirements of all aspects of the demand, so infrastructure, electronics, raw materials and so on also ushered in the development of the big.

The second decade of the 21st century was characterized by the development of heavy chemicals, automobiles, some high-end manufacturing and heavy industry, and the demand for high-level consumption of housing, which led to the development of related industries.

In the 1980s and 1990s, the rapid upgrading of the industry was reflected in the "going to sea" business.

At that time, a large number of scientific and technological workers, intellectuals, and some civil servants left the organization to join the enterprise or start their own business. Once upon a time, "going to sea" entrepreneurship was like a fresh product of the Chinese land after the spring thunder, which fully reflected the urgent requirements of the society of that time, people are looking for innovation and change.

But since the Asian financial crisis in 2008, China's economic growth has started to slow down, and if we want to continue to develop, we have to continue to upgrade the existing industrial base, and move forward in the direction of high-end chips and photolithography, and so on.

According to past experience, the country can buy technology from developed countries through the method of market-for-technology exchange to complete this industrial upgrading, but the technology we want to buy is already being used by developed countries, and not only will they not sell it to us, but they will also desperately try to prevent us from independent innovation, suppressing our high-tech industries, and preventing us from acquiring technology that can be used for industrial upgrading in all aspects of the industry.

I believe that our country will not repeat the mistakes of the Latin countries in South America, which are limited to the middle-income trap, but it is unrealistic to think of rapid industrial upgrading through the market-for-technology approach as in the past, and there will be a 15-year window of conservatism, where we will be hovering in the middle-income trap.

This window of time is when the social status of the civil service peaks, and the leading company, CKE, grows to unimaginable proportions.

Because in this period when the country is climbing the middle-income trap, the biggest problem for individuals is not the problem of feeding their families, but the increasingly serious problem of involution.

The word "involution" has been quite hot lately, and it has been discussed on all major platforms, public numbers, and knowledges. My understanding of involution is that when the increment is insufficient, and the rules are effective, the competition will become more and more intense.

In the industry can be quickly upgraded, the emergence of new industries can give rise to a large number of high-income employment opportunities, and the level of human resources is not as fast as the industrial update, this time there will be a bonus period of employment, such as the IT industry has just been developed in China, many universities have not yet opened the door to the technology of computer programming, at this time, as long as you know a little bit of programming technology, even if you are only two or three college undergraduate graduates.

Alibaba's recruitment requirements in 1999, in the present many specialists can meet this requirement.

Some of the people in this period were able to get into high-quality enterprises and get a good salary, and more reason to attribute to the dividends of industrial upgrading.

However, the situation has now changed.

On the one hand, homogenized human resources continue to expand, the enrollment scale of colleges and universities is getting bigger and bigger, the gold content of undergraduate graduate students doctoral degree is getting lower and lower, and the army of employment is delivered into the labor market every year in a steady stream.

On the other hand, the old strong enterprise mobility depletion, the core positions every year through the best of the best to recruit a small number of graduates of top universities, alternative sales planning positions with lower salaries and then recruited part of the first-class university graduates, and the newly established enterprises such as the Beast of the Battle of the Beasts, the survival rate of the low, and a few years within the rapid bankruptcy.

A large number of students from ordinary schools have no choice but to enter small and micro new enterprises because of the academic threshold, and then often have to experience unemployment and re-employment.

At this stage, entrepreneurs will find that the probability of failure to start a business has increased, and the last century eighty-nine years of the popularity of the public sector "to go to sea" on the contrary, the public sector is very low turnover rate, and more and more people want to "Shanghai", because the civil service This career low educational threshold, stable income, high social status, will become the most favored occupation of the army of employment in this period.

How to look at the current public examination fever? The public examination heat is mainly refers to the civil service application heat. Indeed, in recent years, as long as the public recruitment of civil servants, will set off a wave of application, hundreds of people, or even tens of thousands of people competing for a position of the scene in the minority. Behind the heat of the civil service application, in the end, what kind of social psychology or social phenomenon, the following I and you to share my personal views.

First, the employment situation.

At present, there are millions of college students graduating every year, although every year the state has to introduce a lot of policies and measures to help college graduates to solve the problem of employment, which is also one of the channels of the state to solve the employment of college students. Through the public recruitment, not only solves the problem of metabolism of organs, timely replenishment of fresh blood, strengthening the construction of civil service, but also can provide a large number of jobs to help college students with employment needs to realize employment. From the college students, due to the marketization of the employment situation, so that they have more choices, by participating in the civil service examination, fundamentally solve the problem of their own way out after graduation, but also to test their ability to learn one of the best attempts to test their own destiny may be a complete change in their lives, the test is not good when it is a practice for the future of their own re-application of the examination to accumulate experience, but also does not affect their other employment options. The best way to get a job is to take the exam. The first thing you need to do is to find a way to get the job done, and then you'll be able to get the job done again, and then you'll be able to get the job done again.

Secondly, it is a tradition in Chinese culture to be a good student.

China has had a system of imperial examinations since ancient times, and although the system has its drawbacks, it is the only way to solve the problem of students embarking on a career, and it is also the main way to select the country's leaders in successive dynasties. Since ancient times, learning is the essence of Confucianism in our country, he inspired generations of students, in order to change their destiny and hard work, and therefore change their own fate and the fate of the whole family, and from now on on the road to success, in the country to contribute at the same time, but also to enhance the status of the whole family in the community. Of course, today we have the civil service examination, although it can not be equated with the past imperial examinations, but the form is also the accumulation of the essence of the past imperial examinations, that is, as an important initiative of the state to select talents. Thousands of years of traditional Chinese culture has been passed down from one generation to the next, and the idea of learning from the best has been y imprinted in the minds of the students.

Third, civil service positions still have great appeal.

The full name of the civil service is "national civil servants", the national civil servants is to serve the country, belonging to the state organs of the staff, is to maintain the effective functioning of the state machinery of the main promoters, managers and participants. Therefore, it is the ambition of every young person who is interested in the development and construction of the country to work in the civil service. To work in the civil service means to have a relatively decent job, stable income and good treatment. After many organizations' surveys and researches, civil service jobs are still the first and the most popular choice for most young people who want to find jobs. This is true not only in China, but all over the world. In the conception of many people, as long as they enter the civil service post, it marks that they have a guarantee of employment in their life, financial security, security when they get old, security when they get sick, and even security when they die. As long as you work hard in this position, you will have a better development prospect in the future, and a good platform for entrepreneurship and the pursuit of progress.

In summary, I analyze the phenomenon of hot civil service applications from the demand for employment, the influence of traditional Chinese concepts, and the advantages of the civil service positions themselves, although these analyses are not very comprehensive and can only be reflected in a few drops of this phenomenon exists as the key causal factors, but still has a certain significance in better guiding people to set up a more comprehensive view of employment.

The civil service examination has been very hot many years ago, for the following reasons:

First: the civil service work is very stable, as long as you do not violate laws and regulations and party rules, then the unit will not be dismissed at random, or have the right to dismiss you.

Secondly, the welfare of civil servants is at a medium level in society, and even at a medium level in some developed cities. Salary, year-end and usual benefits, generally speaking, are stable, and with the development of this economy, year-on-year increments are not uncommon. In particular, some civil servants have a higher provident fund, which is a great benefit when buying a house.

Thirdly, civil servants have a higher social status, hold power and are respected.

Especially after the epidemic, the civil service examination is hot to no, according to statistics, many positions even reached 3000:1 of this application ratio, which can be seen how hot the civil service examination.

But as the civil service examination continues to become hot, the examination threshold and pay energy is also higher and higher, of course, this is a personal choice, there is no who is good and who is bad.

The heat of the civil service examination has a historical basis, and now the number of graduates each year is exceeding the historical maximum number. At the same time, the employment pressure of graduates is also increasing. Relative to the various industries, not many people can work in the high-tech industry, and those who are not highly specialized professional graduates are the majority.

For them, they also have some learning ability. The ability to learn from so many years of schooling is probably the best skill to learn, even if it's a test.

Then, the common perception of the civil service as a career is that, although the salary is not high, it still has a certain social status, and there are high occupational benefits, as well as a high degree of job certainty, and a low likelihood of layoffs.

Then, for the group of graduates, on the basis of the expanding base of graduates, in its own fresh graduates do not have professional skills, lack of social experience, lack of inner security, more good at the examination, the public examination is nothing more than a lot of people will go to do the choice. So the formation of the current public examination fever.

The emergence of the public examination fever is, in my opinion, a reason.

Since ancient times, China has been the tradition of honoring the glory of the civil service, and the idea of entering the civil service, soaring to success, and competing for the glory of the family has been prolonged to the present day. Even now, with the development of various ideas, the career path is no longer the only way for civilians to become successful, but the traditional influence is still there.

For the parents, many hope that their children to go to the civil service, iron rice bowl, job stability, face.

One more thing, from the civil service itself, there are a lot of attractive places. First of all, the application conditions, college level or above. Now most people's cultural and educational level is eligible, so the application threshold is low. Whether you hold a try or no way out can only choose the civil service, apply for the civil service test once there is no loss, then take a test.

From the work itself. The civil service work is stable, no doubt, not everyone has a millionaire's dream, flat, safe and sound is true.

And, it must be said, for the civilian class public, the civil service examination is undoubtedly the most direct, most effective, the most fair access to the system of the career as an official.

The last point about the application situation. Every year, the largest number of university graduates apply for the civil service.

The first thing you need to know is that you have to be able to get to the top of the list.

After graduation, college students are faced with the matter of graduate school or find a job. I want to continue to study in graduate school, looking for a job without direction, can not find a job, and even do not know what they plan to do after graduation, or the cloud, all go to apply for civil service. The first thing you need to do is to get your hands dirty.

The first thing you need to do is to get the best of what you have to offer, and you will be able to get the most out of your time.

1. The civil service examination threshold is low, the examination is fair, everyone can report as long as the conditions are met.

2. Some people zhi is a kind of follow the wind blindly, lack of their own thinking. (A deep understanding of themselves, set up their own correct ideals, down-to-earth struggle for the efforts)

3. social competitive pressure, that civil servants are iron rice bowl, more stable. (The introduction of assessment mechanisms, system reform, etc.)

4. Slow economic development in some areas, civil servants are treated relatively higher than in enterprises, in order to pursue a better life. (Increase the sustainable development of the economy of this part of the region)

The reason behind the public examination heat: 1 compared to the treatment of enterprises is not good, the state-owned enterprises are difficult to enter, the treatment of private enterprises can not be guaranteed to survive for 20 years are considered good, and the civil service, stable, as long as into the system, can stay up, the treatment is one year more than one year higher.

2 pressure is different. Civil servants and then shouting pressure, but also than the enterprise, fear and trembling end of the mud rice bowl, maybe when it hit. People to 40, re looking for work, and the body, also does not allow another 996, this situation, the more than out of the civil service is good. As long as you don't break the law, civil servants basically protect you to death.

I'm the first to answer, and I'm very excited! A small city civil servant, used to especially hate the system, just after graduation can not find a job, see roommate + dead party test civil service, hold the mentality of accompanying the test to try, she bought a step know the public examination of the course class, the two of us together to learn, as a result, I examined, she did not ...... Anyway, every day now nine to five, and occasionally on the weekend also To add overtime, the overall down is not bad ~

Hello, Jiangmen Huatu education for you to answer:

This year, the social development of fast, the pace of life is also more and more accelerated, whether it is college graduates or many times the employment of people, the employment pressure is large, many people are difficult to find their own in a number of industries to find their own suitable and suitable for their own careers. In contrast to the business, the preparation of a part of the group to see a stable life.

This year, under the outbreak of the epidemic, the bankruptcy of a large number of small businesses and large enterprises to reduce recruitment under the recruitment of millions of college graduates and unemployed groups of employment has become the focus of the problem.

In contrast, the system allows more groups to see the stability of the career, and its welfare benefits are relatively generous, coupled with the openness, impartiality and fairness of the civil service recruitment examination, so that more people people see the possibility of retrogression. This year's civil service recruitment examination, the state also to a certain extent to increase the number of recruits, relax the recruitment requirements, to solve some of the people's employment, to alleviate the severe employment situation.

Half a year of free time, many people therefore have more time to study, this time also allows more people to prepare for the examination, so there are more candidates are willing to commit to the civil service preparation army.

In summary, the public examination fever is a multifaceted factor *** with the promotion of the public examination fever has both advantages and disadvantages, to be able to select a more excellent young cadres, for our social construction *** with the efforts. But at the same time, choose the right one is the best, so do not be too blind.

The heat of the public examination to a certain extent reflects the difficulty of employment of current university graduates.

The reason why the public examination is flourishing, and graduates are more and more enthusiastic, mainly for the following reasons:

First, it is difficult to find employment. Every year, there are millions of university graduates, but the actual society can provide jobs can not meet the employment problem of graduates. In particular, some positions require specialized talents, millions of graduates can really engage in their own professional work, how many employment prospects and how many.

The second is the stability of civil servants. The civil servants seem to be the most stable working group in China, they don't have to think about being laid off or dismissed, they have fixed holidays, maternity leave, marriage leave, eight to five in the morning, they don't have to work overtime, they don't have to work very hard, they don't have a good salary, but they have a good salary at least once a month, especially after the retirement, they have a better treatment.

Third, the social status is high. From ancient times to the present day, everyone will be on the official family members of the high regard, nowadays is the same, who has a child in the family to get a good unit, around the people are particularly envious, do parents will be particularly proud.

Fourth, the number of people accumulated. Due to the civil service examination each year, the number of recruits are not much, and most of them are once a year, many people have to test several times, so the position presents the state of supply exceeds demand, year after year down the number of people more and more accumulated, resulting in a position dozens of than one, hundreds of than one can be seen everywhere.

I have a lot of colleagues are working in the field a few years and then come back to the civil service, civil service for them is the real can be down-to-earth life work, the big city is certainly wonderful, but the water is only flow is life.

There are also many people like entrepreneurship, love the big city, can only say that everyone has everyone's pursuit of life, we just chose one of them, China is so many people, any one of the groups are huge, as long as you think the right, want to get, we have to work hard to fight for it, don't care about other people's gossip, with their own actions to prove everything.

More information welcome to pay attention and private message me.