Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Almanac inquiry - Will fgo's birthday card lottery be more possible?
Will fgo's birthday card lottery be more possible?
Card drawing probability:
If there is only one five-star in the 100 lottery, the probability of this event is 36.8%, which is the highest. If 150 only draws a five-star, the event probability is 33.5%. If 200 draws only one five-star, the event probability is 27. 1%. If there is still only one five-star in 300 strokes, the event probability is 14.9%.
If Europe is compared, one of the 50 shots has five stars, and the probability of the event is 30.3%. 10 company has one, with a probability of 9.04%. Huang Ou pulled it out alone, and it was 1%. To sum up, it's 50 strokes 100 strokes 150 strokes or even 200 strokes for a five-star. In fact, the probability difference is not big, which means that 50-200 draws five stars, which is the level of most people.
This is different from the usual probability calculation. Usually, you will take some stones until you get a five-star, and each event is independent. This is to take a known number of n stones to draw, and then see how many there are in five stars.
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