Great adjustment, the Russian army expanded to 6.5438+0.5 million, and senior generals of the United States and Ukraine met secretly.

With the intervention of more other forces, the situation on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield has become more and more complicated. In order to welcome the arrival of the "top weapons" of the United States and the West, Putin announced that the number of armed forces would be expanded to 6.5438+0.5 million.

Russian big move

This is Russia's second large-scale mobilization after last September, and Russia clearly shouted that this was to deal with the "proxy war" initiated by the West.

In the first mobilization, the Russian army recruited 300,000 troops, from former technical and logistical support personnel to experienced soldiers, to supplement the battlefield or consolidate Russian-occupied areas such as Donbass. At this time, the total strength is about1150,000.

In this second mobilization, before 300,000 troops were sent to the battlefield, the Russian army expanded its troops by 500,000 again, and planned to expand its troops to 1.5 million. In order to co-ordinate these new personnel, the Russian army has also set up two new cross-arms strategic military regions-the Moscow Military Region and the Leningrad Military Region, and changed the original "East, West and Central" military regions and seven motorized infantry brigades of the Northern Fleet into division-level organizational systems, thus strengthening the operational components such as the air force, navy and strategic missile units. It also adjusted the position of Karelia, which borders Finland, and formed an army to guard against who is obvious.

At the same time, it is to ensure the supply of weapons for the expansion part, as well as logistics support such as field city construction and medical care. In this mobilization, the Russian army paid special attention to recruiting contract soldiers, including 695,000 contract soldiers out of 6.5438+0.5 million troops. After about two months of training, it is expected that Russia will launch the largest spring offensive in April.

Before the coaching change, the commander-in-chief Sulovikin was reduced to a "sharp knife in the theater", which was also an adjustment made to strengthen the all-out confrontation.

This is an all-round preparation and a response to the United States and the West increasing their military assistance to Ukraine. After all, it may be a life-and-death battle. In the words of Serbian President Vucic, "the United States concentrates on dealing with Russia".

Mei Wu Xiao Wei

In such a sensitive period, senior generals of the United States and Ukraine held secret meetings in Poland. On the one hand, Zaluzhny, commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian armed forces, who was recently exposed to disagree with Zelensky's ideas, and on the other hand, Mark Milli, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of the United States, secretly held their first face-to-face meeting near the Ukrainian border.

This is a subtle change, especially at this sensitive moment, when the United States is still on fire. Even Kissinger, who originally advocated peace, suddenly changed his mind and said it was appropriate for Ukraine to join NATO.

With the eye-catching performance of Wagner Group, a Russian private military company, on the battlefield and the recent major adjustment of the Russian army, the United States has also begun to adjust its strategy. The United States and the West have provided a lot of aid to Ukrainian armor and tanks, and they also expect to launch a large-scale equipment suppression war in the spring.

Zaluzhni said that the assistance of the United States and its allies can accelerate its victory.

Therefore, Millie will not only ask about 50 countries to promise new support to Ukraine at the next contact group meeting on Ukraine, but also check the training of Ukrainian troops in foreign countries. Ukraine, which is superior in weapons, is greatly weakened by the lack of soldiers.

At present, the battlefield situation in Russia and Ukraine is undergoing major changes. With the western "spiral" game against Russia and Ukraine, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has not cooled down, but has intensified dangerously. As the United States draws other countries into it, there may be a danger that the war will get out of control and affect world security.

Extended reading

US and Ukrainian officials: The reason why Russia's firepower suddenly dropped by 75% is still unclear.

The Russian-Ukrainian war has entered 1 1 month, and the two sides are still in a stalemate. However, the current goal of the Russian army is to win Bakhmut, and the goal of the Ukrainian army is to win Zaporoge, and then Crimea. Both sides have big goals, so a bloody battle is inevitable.

On June+10/October 10, 65438, American and Ukrainian officials said that compared with the peak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the Russian firepower dropped by 75%. The data predicted by the United States and Malaysia are quite different, but both show the same trend. The United States estimates that the number of artillery fired by the Russian army has dropped from an average of 20,000 rounds per day to 5,000 rounds, while the Ukrainian side estimates that it has dropped from 60,000 rounds per day to 20,000 rounds per day. In contrast, the Ukrainian army fired an average of 4,000 bullets a day.

U.S. Department of Defense officials revealed that the sharp drop in Russian artillery fire was not a straight drop, but a large number of artillery fires were fired in a few days, such as heavy artillery bombardment on the towns of Bakhmut and Kelmina in Wudong and the surrounding areas of southern Kherson State.

The United States and Ukraine have not yet figured out the reason for the sudden drop of Russian artillery fire, but both sides believe that one reason is the insufficient supply of Russian artillery shells, and Russian soldiers are controlling firepower for this reason; Another reason is that in the face of the stubborn resistance of the Ukrainian army, the Russian army has other plans. In either case, U.S. and Ukrainian officials said that the decline in firepower proved that the Russian army was getting weaker and weaker on the battlefield after the Russian-Ukrainian war was delayed for nearly a year. At the end of 2022, an American official revealed that due to the shortage of new ammunition, the Russian army had to use 40-year-old Soviet-era garbage.

The war information released by the British Ministry of Defence recently pointed out that, unlike the traditional heavy artillery bombardment strategy of the Russian army, the Russian army pays more attention to strengthening the fortifications in the interior of Zaporoge at this stage, because they are worried that the Ukrainian army may launch a counterattack there and then attack Crimea. Officials believe that the appointment of Sulovikin, who is known for his cruel style and was named "decisive general" by the Russian media, may be the key to the strategic transformation of the Russian army.

Podolyak, director of the Office of the President of Ukraine, said recently that the Ukrainian army will be able to recover Crimea after taking control of Donbass and Zaporoge. He said, "It's only a matter of time. If we occupy the territory of Lugansk, Donetsk or Zaporoge, then Crimea will be under the full fire control of the Ukrainian army. "

In his New Year address, Ukrainian President Zelensky also called for the control of Crimea, Cremennaya, Swatovo and Melitopol.

The current situation is still very unclear.

Recently, Russia and Belarus conducted a joint exercise, which was reminiscent of the scene when Russian troops entered Kiev through Belarusian territory. Is it necessary for the Russian army to come again in 2023? In this regard, Kiev city defense commander Pavneuk believes that "the Russian army has this intention, but it has no ability."

When asked about the "threat situation in Kiev" in an interview, General Pavneuk said, "There is no direct threat to Kiev at present because the Russians don't have enough troops. Indeed, some troops are moving on the border between Belarus and Ukraine, but they are far less than the defense forces of the Ukrainian army, and they are unlikely to succeed in the raid. "

He said, "Everything the Russian army has done in Belarus is to contain the defenders on the northern border of Ukraine and prevent them from seeking support in the east. However, we have no intention of sending the northern defenders.

Pavnuk was one of the main commanders in the defence of Kiev last year. At present, the National Defence Force 120 Brigade under his leadership is undergoing training as part of the defense of Kiev.

On the Russian side, the main military goal at present is to acquire Bakhmut, a city with a population of 70,000 before the war. Soledad is about15km away from the war-torn city of Bakhmut, which has become the focus of fighting in recent months.

Pushilin, acting official of Donetsk, said recently that the liberation of Soledad by Russian troops was not far away, but he said that Ukrainian troops were still resisting. He admitted that both sides "paid a very high price".

The Russian mercenary organization Wagner 65438+1October 10 said that as part of Russia's months-long offensive to seize the Donetsk region, it was fighting a "fierce and bloody battle" to control the town of Soledad.

At present, Wagner's troops specialize in Soledad, and the Russian and Ukrainian armies are fighting fiercely for the administrative building. In this regard, Zelensky said that the town of Soledad had been razed to the ground by the fighting. "Everything was completely destroyed."

Wagner founder Prigozhin said on social media, "Let's be honest with ourselves. The Ukrainian army is bravely fighting for Bakhmut and Soledad, and the reports about their large-scale desertion are untrue. "

The British Ministry of Defence said that Russian troops may control most of Soledad.