The period of internet popularity has ended. Where is the next exit?

The period of internet popularity has ended. Where is the next exit?

There is a famous saying in the Internet industry that "pigs can fly when standing on the tuyere". Explain a logic that whoever keeps up with the trend can make money. The development of Internet benefits from the progress of technology and the nature of time difference. The development of Internet in China originated from the period of 1987-1993, and domestic scientific and technological workers began to contact with Internet resources. The research institute headed by China Academy of Sciences has cooperated with foreign institutions to carry out a series of Internet networking research projects, providing Internet e-mail services for some key universities and scientific research institutions in China through dial-up Internet e-mail system.

China officially connected to the Internet in 1994, and commercial Internet service appeared in 1995. At that time, there were less than 6,000 Internet users in China, which increased to 200,000 in196 and 670,000 in197. After the cross-century, the number of Internet users in China was around 300 million in 2003. In 20 10, there were 457 million people in China, and the Internet penetration rate reached 34.3%. By the end of 20021,there were10.32 million people in China, and the Internet penetration rate reached 7375438+0%.

1995 is the first year of Internet development in China. After more than 20 years' development, the Internet population in China has increased from less than 6 million to 202 110.32 million, accounting for 7.3710/%of the total population of 202 1 4 million, which is why the current Internet boom period has passed. Let's look at the proportion of the aging population in China. According to the statistics of the Bureau of Statistics, the results of the seventh census in 20021showed that the number of elderly people over 60 in China reached 264 million, accounting for 18.7%, and the number of people over 65 reached1900,000, accounting for 13.5%. At the same time, according to the census, there are 253 million people aged 0- 14. That is to say, the population of China is 65.438+04 billion, minus 264 million elderly people and minus 253 million teenagers aged 0-65.438+04, that is, 883 million people. Compared with the Internet population of 65.438+0.032 billion, the difference is 65.438+0.49 billion. In other words, in the youth and elderly market, the growth is weak. In the future, the Internet penetration rate will be basically the same, and the foundation for rapid growth is no longer there.

Judging from the national online retail sales, the data of the National Bureau of Statistics show that in 20021year, the national online retail sales 13. 1 trillion yuan, up 14. 1% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 3.2 percentage points faster than that of the previous year. Among them, the online retail sales of physical goods 10.8 trillion yuan exceeded 10 trillion yuan for the first time, with a year-on-year increase of 12.0%, accounting for 24.5% of the total retail sales of social consumer goods and contributing 23.6% to the growth of the total retail sales of social consumer goods. In 2020, the online retail sales will be 1 1760 1 billion yuan, and the online retail sales of physical goods will be 975.9 billion yuan, accounting for 24.9% of the total retail sales of social consumer goods. In 20 19, the national online retail sales reached 10.63 trillion yuan, of which the online retail sales of physical goods reached 8.52 trillion yuan, accounting for 20.7% of the total retail sales of social consumer goods.

That is to say, compared with 2020, the proportion of social consumer goods in 202 1 decreased from 24.9% in 2020 to 24.5% in 202 1. The change of this trend shows that the trend of Internet sales is slowing down. After 2020, the whole world and the whole country will enter the stage of epidemic prevention and control. Under the leadership of the Communist Party of China (CPC), with the support of all ethnic groups, social organizations and the masses, the overall trend of community group buying has developed rapidly. So from this perspective, the transaction volume of the whole Internet will be inflated.

To sum up, it can be judged that the era of internet wealth creation has passed, and the next step is to improve the quality of service, that is, the adjustment period of the Internet will appear in the next three to five years. So, is there really no way out for the Internet? No, on the contrary, agricultural products and processing will continue to increase, and there will be two or three levels of differentiation. In the past, the situation of low price and poor quality will be basically alleviated, and it is necessary to explain the international situation.

After 20 18 Sino-US trade friction, the world has entered a new stage of trade protection. Under the background of the situation in 20021Ukraine, we can see that the hegemonic position of the US dollar is declining, and the decline of its influence means that the United States will change its basic national policy, change its manipulation of the virtual economy such as finance, turn to developing manufacturing, and return to the secondary industry. After 20 18, the United States rashly tore up its own rules in order to accelerate the return of capital and technology industries. It can be seen that the United States has reached a critical moment.

In 2020, the added value of American manufacturing industry will be 2.34 trillion US dollars, and the tertiary industry will account for more than 80%. China's manufacturing industry also increased by 3.854 trillion US dollars, and the tertiary industry accounted for 36.37%. In 202 1 year, the added value of American manufacturing industry was $2.563 trillion. In 20021year, the added value of China's manufacturing industry was 3 1.4 trillion, which was converted into 4.98 trillion at the exchange rate of 6.3.

After 20 18, the industrial added value of the United States will increase in 2020, but its proportion is still far behind that of China. Obviously, the industrial development of a country cannot be changed in a few years or several American presidents. However, the turning point in the United States has begun. That should start with Trump coming to power. However, the turning point in the United States is too fast, and presidents are eager to return capital, technology and manufacturing, and the extremes meet. Both inflation and ideology in the United States will erupt in silence. It is not alarmist that the cultural empire represented by the United States will gradually collapse in the next few years. When a country's president and the ruling party face the domestic and international situation, they don't handle their internal worries well and want to win power through external forces. (provided that we have swords in our hands)

Therefore, after Trump stepped down, the dispute between China and the United States began to change from a blatant dispute to a conspiracy and returned to the containment stage of the Asia-Pacific strategy. The United States is also trading space for time, locking China in an island chain and compressing our production and living space. Fortunately, the leaders of big countries have formulated the Belt and Road strategy, and now they have formed an inevitable stage in the development of the new international order.

This is an international situation, so is the situation of terminals such as the Internet dangerous? Danger! Because of the open source of the Internet, related technologies have benefited from the United States. As soon as the servers in the United States are shut down, the Internet in the whole world will be in turmoil. So why should the United States keep an eye on Huawei? That's the reason. Huawei is doing the basic framework, which will not be completed by a second country or enterprise except the United States. Therefore, aiming at Huawei's hooliganism, it is actually preparing for cyber warfare. Let's not discuss the war and defense of the Internet for the time being, but discuss the development of China's narrow Internet economy.

China's Internet penetration rate has reached more than 70%, so overall, the room for growth is already very narrow. Now, the Internet platform has formed a three-dimensional development trend, with a lot of good quality and low price, complete product range and high quality express service. The remaining share is the division of other platforms, and the gap is not big. Coupled with community e-commerce, it is actually the capital investment made by these types of enterprises. Therefore, the competition to re-enter the Internet will rise from low capital and low investment to high cost and high investment. Even from the media and short videos, the operation is rising now, and in another three to five years, the development will also form a stable period.

Where is the tuyere? After the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the rural revitalization strategy was formally put forward. In 2020, China entered a well-off society in an all-round way, and in 20021year, Zhejiang Province became an affluent area in China. Why choose Zhejiang? In view of rural revitalization, Zhejiang Province has outstanding people and a small gap between the rich and the poor. Only the adjustment of industrial structure, the imbalance between rural income and urban income. Compared with Guangdong and Shanghai, the manufacturing industry is developed and there are many small and medium-sized private enterprises. So, I chose Zhejiang. You can see where the air outlet is from here! Return to the original!

Conclusion: The primary industry is agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery. With the change of climate and the turbulence of international situation, China is a truly populous country, and the problem of eating has been a big problem since ancient times. In other words, agricultural modernization is the future trend. The granaries in Sui Dynasty and the grain reserves in China are the key points for agricultural development to cope with the changes in the future world situation. This month, India did not directly notify the ban on wheat exports, alluding to the importance of agricultural products, which is simply waste paper. Forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, etc. They are all major industrial issues related to the future national economy and people's livelihood.

So, what is the tuyere? Materials, materials, materials, energy, energy, research and development, production, transportation, terminal, forming a tuyere. In other words, all the above will become exports. The Internet serves all physical objects. Want to do the Internet, want to have great progress, must be in kind as the premise and condition.