2022 is another hurdle for SMEs.

Data show that by the end of 20 19, there were more than 30 million SMEs in China. In the first quarter of 2020, 460,000 enterprises closed down due to the epidemic. In July 2020, 23 100 enterprises were cancelled or closed down. However, due to the control of the epidemic in China and the timely clearance policy, China's economy expanded rapidly in the first quarter of 2020. The number of small and medium-sized enterprises in China has also greatly increased. By the end of 20021,the number of small and medium-sized enterprises in China has reached more than 40 million, which has achieved contrarian growth.

There is a phenomenon in the data. Until August of 20021year, there were 320,000 small and medium-sized enterprises closed down in China, mainly in building materials, automobile manufacturing and spare parts manufacturing, household appliances, shipbuilding, real estate and other industries. These enterprises have a lot to do with housing and housing speculation in the country. Cars are mainly new energy vehicles, and traditional enterprises are closed. In 202 1 year, due to the factors of bulk materials, the actual profit of traditional small and medium-sized enterprises is not high.

The newly added small and medium-sized enterprises are mainly concentrated in agriculture and high-tech enterprises, which is related to the national policy of promoting new energy, high technology and developing agriculture.

In 2022, due to the policy of using vaccines and universal immunization in the United States and Europe (abandoning control, all infected with COVID-19, and then the survival of the fittest), if the COVID-19 mutation no longer occurs, the production capacity of the United States and Europe will increase and China's exports will decrease, which can be seen from the growth rate of 4% in the fourth quarter of 2002/KLOC-0.

In 2022, the US Federal Reserve kept saying that it would raise interest rates, which was a negative factor for many countries, leading to the return of dollars to the United States, which would objectively affect China's export trade; Another point is that a large part of China's MFN treatment for developing countries has been cancelled, which will increase the actual selling price of our products and objectively reduce the advantages of our traditional products.

2022 is a very difficult year for small and medium-sized enterprises. 202 1 has occupied a large part of new industry opportunities and will also become shopping time. Unless they are truly unrepeatable and have high core technical capabilities, these newly-added SMEs will be a sad year. In addition, large enterprises will make use of their own advantages (technology, fame, channels, funds, etc.). Imitate new products, especially by OEM. A large group of people in these enterprises are collecting best-selling products, and then they will use their own advantages to imitate and promote them quickly.

2022 is a very difficult year for small and medium-sized enterprises, especially traditional small and medium-sized enterprises. This part is not only in a state of complete competition, the foreign environment is not optimistic, and domestic consumption can not go up, especially in the case of the continuous closure of traditional small and medium-sized enterprises, the domestic consumption cycle is even more difficult. Because traditional small and medium-sized enterprises have absorbed more migrant workers and lower-level operators, and because the number of traditional small and medium-sized enterprises closed down has increased, the income of these people will be reduced even more, and this group of talents is the key to China's consumption, because this group of people has a large base and is much more than white-collar workers. If the income of these people decreases, the realization of internal consumption cycle will be very problematic.

2022 will be another hurdle for SMEs. Whether it is a newly invested policy enterprise or a traditional small and medium-sized enterprise, there will be a dish washing in 2022, especially the cash flow of credit cards, because the adjustment of the national credit card use policy will affect this part of cash flow.

2022 may also be the best year in the next few years. As the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates, China took the lead in controlling the epidemic and withdrew from the easing policy ahead of schedule, and China has the ability to realize policies such as reducing fiscal interest (this has already been implemented). Many people predict that after the Fed raises interest rates, China's financial policy may not implement interest rate cuts and other policies. For this reason, 2022 may be the most favorable year for the survival of SMEs in the next few years.