Load forecasting from one month to one year belongs to

Load forecasting from one month to one year belongs to medium-term load forecasting.

I. Medium and Long-term Load Forecasting

Load forecast of 1, including years, 5 years and 10 years. The annual load forecast should give the forecast results on a monthly basis, and the load forecast of 5 years and above should give the forecast results of each level year.

2. The medium and long-term load forecast should be based on the annual forecast, and the dynamic change of load should be tracked monthly (quarterly), and the five-year load forecast should be revised once a year.

3. Medium and long-term load forecasting shall at least include the following contents: annual (monthly) electricity consumption. Annual (monthly) maximum load. The annual (monthly) maximum negative load of each region is 1. Typical daily and weekly load curves, monthly and annual load curves.

4. Annual average load rate, annual minimum load rate, annual maximum peak-valley difference, annual maximum load utilization hours, typical daily average load rate and minimum load rate.

Second, the power load forecast

Power load forecasting is an important part of power system planning and the basis of economic operation of power system, which is extremely important for power system planning and operation.

Third, the technical parameters

1. Power load forecasting includes two meanings, that is, it can be used to refer to all kinds of electrical equipment installed in state organs, enterprises, residents and other users, and it can also be used to describe the power consumption of the above-mentioned electrical equipment.

2. Power load forecasting is a series of forecasting work based on power load. From the perspective of forecasting objects, power load forecasting includes forecasting future power demand (electricity), forecasting future electricity consumption (energy) and forecasting load curve.

3. Its main task is to predict the temporal and spatial distribution of future power load and provide reliable decision-making basis for power system planning and operation.

Fourth, the influencing factors

1. In power load forecasting, many factors affect the predicted value of power load to varying degrees. Some factors will change due to nature, such as the weather.

2. Due to some differences in regional conditions, such as the speed of industrial and agricultural development; Some factors are major events that are not estimated, such as serious disasters. Each factor may have different effects on the load, and the same factor may have different effects on the load at different levels.