How will the price of cotton change?

There are two reasons for this wave of decline. First, the price of cotton is too high, and the market acceptance declines, resulting in a decrease in demand. Second, the accelerated decline caused by the country's fight against bubbles and stable prices. I think the suppression of the country only caused the decline of cotton in advance. If cotton is not suppressed, it may continue to rise in the short term, but the decline will be even greater. The consequences are more serious. Personally, I hope you can look at the problem calmly. Think carefully about whether you shouldn't be unhappy because what I said is not good for you.

Let me talk about the future cotton form, which may also be of concern to everyone.

Let's talk about the possibility of several trends in cotton.

1, stable first and then rising, which is what spot dealers want to see most.

2, first stabilize the market outlook and continue to fall. This is what spot dealers don't want to see.

3. The country's suppression policy constantly pressured the market to wait and see, and the continuous price drop shattered the psychological bottom line of hoarders, and the market accepted the stability of the low-priced cotton market.

4. After the suppression policy ended, the rapid recovery of cotton prices caused a new bubble, followed by a wave of ups and downs. This is a bit dramatic.

I can't think of any other trends.

Let me focus on the first two trends.

First, if the cotton market is stable now, some processing plants will sell some of the cotton in stock, while others will continue to wait and see. The main driving force is that the textile profit is still relatively high. As long as the downstream industries can accept it, the cotton price will rise. This kind of rise will not rise as fast as in the previous period, but will rise steadily. Mainly considering the big cotton gap, the textile mills have to replenish their stocks in time. Possibility 30%

Second: This is mainly because most cotton is now in the pre-spinning stage, and then sold after it is stable, so that there is money to buy new flowers and continue production. You may think that cotton is still not enough. I think so. In recent years, the impact of this rise on the downstream has been greatly reduced or even stopped. Coupled with the national power restriction measures, I think the demand for cotton has increased a lot to a certain extent. This possibility is 50%.

The other two kinds each account for 10%.