Traditional decision model

In life, we will always encounter all kinds of problems, ranging from what to eat for breakfast tomorrow, which product to buy, to how to cooperate with customers to complete projects at work and how to build a perfect team.

To solve these problems, we need to find solutions, but sometimes we try to solve them, but we can't get the ideal results. In this case, it is likely that there is something wrong with your way of thinking.

Edison said, "There is a solution to any problem, and nothing is unexpected."

So, is there a convenient and effective way of thinking that can help us make decisions quickly? The answer lies in this "the simplest problem-solving manual in history".

There are as many as 5 1 decision models listed in the book, which provide concise solutions to various problems. Each decision-making model not only has a short text description, but also has a clear chart, which is convenient for readers to quickly grasp the essence of these thinking models and use them flexibly in real life.

There are two authors of this book: one is Mike krogh Russ, who graduated from Kaospilot, a famous non-traditional business school in Denmark. Since 2009, he has been a freelance journalist and published articles in many media. The other is Roman Seppler, who also graduated from Cospiro. In 2004, he founded Guzo Media Company to provide consulting services for creativity and innovation implementation.

The 565,438+0 decision-making model in the simplest problem-solving manual in history is an efficient thinking and practical method to deal with the challenge of uncertainty. Here, I choose four thinking modes from the book, such as SWOT analysis, lessons from the past, conflict resolution and role-playing model, to further show the characteristics of this book.

"Natural selection, survival of the fittest", Darwin's theory of evolution tells us that there is survival competition among creatures, those who adapt survive and those who don't adapt are eliminated. The development of enterprises in the market and the promotion of individuals in the workplace are closely related to competition.

How can we better adapt to environmental changes, give play to our own advantages and improve our competitiveness? The simplest problem-solving manual in history introduces a SWOT analysis method.

SWOT analysis is a strategic analysis tool, which has the advantage of comprehensive consideration and systematic thinking. It can help you deeply analyze your own advantages, give you a clear understanding of the present situation, and make a comprehensive evaluation to get the best liberation plan.

Strength-an internal favorable factor

Weakness-inherent weakness

Opportunity-external favorable factors

Threats-external unfavorable factors

If you draw s, w, o, t on the coordinate axis, it will be like this:

SWOT analysis is often used to formulate enterprise development strategies and analyze competitors, which can help enterprises gather resources and actions in their most favorable places.

Perhaps many people feel that they are not enterprise managers and do not need this seemingly complicated analysis method. In fact, SWOT analysis is also very useful in our daily life.

If we compare the individuals in job hunting to enterprises facing competition in the market, you will find that SWOT analysis method is completely applicable to job seekers.

Here is a simple case, we can use SWOT analysis to make career planning.

Draw s, w, o, t on the coordinate axis, as shown below:

After analyzing the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats, we can also make use of the cross matrix of internal and external conditions to formulate corresponding strategies to help us cope with the opportunities and challenges of career goals.

In a word, the basic idea of using SWOT method is: give full play to advantages, overcome disadvantages, seize opportunities and resolve threats; Consider the past, base on the present and focus on the future.

Have all the dreams you had three years ago and five years ago come true now? I believe that many people's dreams have not come true. After several years, their dreams are still so far away. Why? Because when we talk about dreams, we tend to focus only on the future and ignore the past.

Your today was decided by you three or five years ago, and your life after three or five years is decided by you now. Talking about the future The focus of talking about dreams is not "how to imagine your future", but "how to build a bridge between the past and the future and establish a connection".

So how are we going to build this bridge? The model introduced in the simplest problem-solving manual in history can help us look back on the past and explore what is valuable in the past and what is meaningful in the future.

How? First of all, you should choose a time frame, such as during college, after graduation, during job hunting, during the first year of marriage, or during the two years of work, since the establishment of the company, and then recall what your goals were, what you learned at that time, what difficulties you overcame and what you gained.

In other words, in retrospect, we should fill in the following contents in this model:

Related figures

Your goal (at that time)

success

The obstacles you overcome

What have you learned?

After filling in this model, you will find that your present is determined by the key things in the past, so that you can clearly understand the present situation by reviewing the past, formulate the future development direction and strategy in a targeted manner, advance slowly and steadily, and realize your goals step by step.

Review the past, base on today and look forward to the future with the model of learning from the past.

Conflicts are everywhere in our life and work. For example, in all kinds of relationships with family, friends and colleagues, it is inevitable that people will have different views on the same thing. Sometimes, if the differences of opinion are too intense, conflicts will occur. If the conflict is not handled properly, it will lead to serious or even irreparable consequences, and it will also affect the feelings and friendship between people.

As we all know, it is very important to deal with contradictions, but not everyone has the ability to deal with contradictions correctly. The conflict resolution mode in the simplest problem-solving manual in history teaches us how to solve conflicts beautifully and avoid stalemate and mutual accusations.

The book lists six ways to deal with conflicts: evasion, confrontation, giving up, shirking responsibility, compromise and reaching an understanding. Let's look at the results of these six treatments:

1.？ Escape: most people choose to escape when they encounter conflicts, instead of thinking about how to solve them. As a result, the situation has not changed. This is not good for both sides, it is a lose-lose situation.

2. Confrontation: Some people will choose open confrontation. While sticking to their position, their goal is to conquer their opponents. The result of this treatment is that I win and you lose.

3.？ Give up: Some people choose to give up and retreat, that is, choose to lose by themselves, resulting in a situation where I lose and you win.

4.？ Pass the buck: When faced with contradictions, some people often pass the buck, find various reasons to excuse themselves and pass the buck to others. In this case, if it is not handled well, it is likely to lead to a lose-lose situation.

5.？ Compromise: Both sides of the conflict make concessions, as the saying goes, "You give three points, I give three points", and find a solution acceptable to both sides. This solution is reasonable even if it is not ideal.

6.？ Reach an understanding: both parties to the conflict respect and trust each other, communicate frankly, and strive to find a win-win solution. This way of cooperation is conducive to eliminating contradictions.

It can be seen that reaching a consensus is the best way to resolve conflicts. You may say, this is easy to handle, so all our conflicts can be solved in a cooperative way.

In fact, in our real life and work, sometimes the situation is much more complicated, which requires us to take reasonable methods to deal with conflicts according to the actual situation. In the face of conflict, you need to think about which side do you belong to? Who is your opponent? Through calm thinking and comprehensive analysis, make appropriate solutions.

Have you ever encountered these problems:

In the team meeting, everyone thinks differently about a simple question, resulting in the original 10 minute meeting lasting one hour.

When you are doing a project, you think about it because you are afraid of ignoring a problem and causing the project to fail.

During the meeting, only the host spoke, and no one else spoke. The atmosphere is dull.

Now you don't have to worry about these problems. The role-playing model in the simplest problem-solving manual in history can help you solve it.

Seeing the name of this model, you may be curious, what is a role-playing model? This model is also called thinking hat. It is the six thinking hats put forward by Edward de Bono, a master of creative thinking, and it is one of the most popular and effective thinking skills. It can make our chaotic thinking clearer, turn meaningless arguments in the group into brainstorming creation, and make every member of the team creative.

What are these six thinking hats?

White hat: pure rational thinking, analytical objective thinking.

Red hat: pure perceptual thinking, subjective feelings and opinions.

Black hat: rigorous, negative and critical thinking.

Yellow hat: positive and optimistic thinking.

Green hat: creative thinking, creative and constructive thinking.

Police tactical unit: Structural thinking, looking at the overall situation.

See? These six thinking hats are actually six ways of thinking. The metaphor of thinking with a hat just reminds you that what color hat you wear, you must think with the corresponding way of thinking.

When we have a meeting to discuss problems, all members choose one of these six thinking hats, and the meeting must be presided over by someone to ensure that team members will not deviate from their roles. Put on a thinking hat and think in different ways, and team members will often make new discoveries.

The key to our application of six thinking hats lies in the way of arranging the hats in order, that is, the process of organizing thinking. The practical application steps of a typical six-thinking hat team are as follows:

1. State the problem (white hat);

2. Propose a solution to the problem (green hat);

3. Evaluate the advantages of the scheme (yellow hat);

4. List the shortcomings of the scheme (black hat);

5. Make an intuitive judgment on the scheme (red hat);

6. Summarize the statement and make a decision (Blue Hat).

Six thinking hats are like a rule of the game. When we use six thinking hats in a meeting, the meeting atmosphere is relaxed and happy, more like playing games. If everyone follows the instructions of the police tactical unit, the results of the meeting will naturally come out, and everyone will have a wonderful and exciting feeling. This is the charm of six thinking hats.

Different colors of hats represent different thinking meanings. We should learn to wear different hats at different times to think, observe things from different angles and think about problems, so as to produce innovative ideas.

This paper introduces the above four modes of thinking, such as SWOT analysis, learning from the past, conflict resolution and role-playing mode, and gives practical methods. There are more practical thinking models in the simplest problem-solving manual in history, such as the principle of right and wrong (how to make a quick decision), the optimal model of the result (how to ensure the perfection of the project), the expected value model (what to pay attention to when choosing a partner) and so on.

This is a book full of dry goods, which can help us make efficient decisions. We can use this book as a reference book. Whenever we encounter a difficult problem and have no clue, we can look through this book, find a thinking model that can solve the current problem, fill in our own content in the model and practice according to the guidance of the model.

Norman Cousins said, "Taking time to think is the most time-saving thing". As long as you have the simplest problem-solving manual in history, you can learn to focus on important things with different thinking modes, find solutions to problems and make correct decisions, so that you can also become a high-performance person.