Current situation of various industries under the influence of epidemic situation

As an important part of the service industry, the catering industry was particularly affected by this epidemic.

The Spring Festival should be the golden age of the catering industry. Not only are all kinds of parties very popular, but the lucrative New Year's Eve dinner is also the highlight of various catering enterprises.

However, this year's situation is very different. On the one hand, more and more people choose to cook by themselves. On the other hand, regulations on the closure of catering enterprises have been introduced one after another in various places. As a result, the plan to make a big fortune at the New Year's Eve dinner fell through, the original hot Spring Festival peak disappeared, and the whole catering industry was paralyzed.

In addition, most catering enterprises have reserved a large number of ingredients before, and employees are also ready for the Spring Festival. The corresponding cost has been generated, and the sudden epidemic has caught the bosses of various catering enterprises off guard and caused heavy losses.

2. Tourism

Compared with the catering industry, perhaps the loss of tourism is even greater.

This year's Spring Festival tourism is basically frozen. Affected by the epidemic, all the scenic spots above Grade A in the country are closed, and the traditional peak season can be described as nothing. Coupled with the suspension of cultural and entertainment projects in various places, people have stopped their travel plans.

Tourism-related industries, such as scenic spot services, hotel subcontracting, air ticket subcontracting, etc., also show a trend of one glory and one loss.

A sample survey of the hotel industry shows that during the Spring Festival, the occupancy rate of major hotels in China dropped by 80%, and the occupancy rate of some hotels was even less than 4%. Hotels and homestays that are not easy to do may also usher in a new reshuffle in 2020.

In addition, because tourism is very sensitive to the environment, its affected period is obviously longer than that of catering enterprises. Even if the epidemic disappears in a short time, people's enthusiasm for traveling will not be very high, and it is expected that the impact on tourism will last for at least half a year.

/kloc-During the SARS period 0/7 years ago, tourism made great efforts to break the deadlock and became one of the first industries to recover. This time, we also expect the tourism industry to thaw as soon as possible and regain prosperity.

3. Film industry

Under the pneumonia epidemic, people also stopped all recreational activities.

For the film industry, the annual Spring Festival movie is a good opportunity to make a profit. However, this year, affected by the epidemic, cinemas were forced to close, and Chinese New Year movies such as Detective Chinatown 3, Mamma Mia, and Legend of Deification were withdrawn one after another, which brought great impact to producers and cinemas.

4. Transportation industry

Not going out has become a disaster for the transportation industry.

At present, in order to avoid self-infection and reduce the probability of contact with the source of infection, all localities have strictly controlled the population flow. People have also reduced activities such as traveling abroad and visiting relatives. The national passenger flow of high-speed rail, waterway, highway and air transport dropped significantly. In order to support the epidemic, many enterprises have implemented free refunds, and related enterprises have incurred losses.

5. Real estate industry

As most provinces and cities in China have taken measures such as closing sales offices, stopping construction sites, suspending land auctions and closing real estate agents, the real estate industry has also felt unprecedented pressure.

According to the statistics of Zhongyuan Real Estate Research Center, from the end of 2020 1, the turnover of most developers plummeted by 95% compared with the previous Spring Festival. According to Kerry's monitoring, the real estate sales data in the week before and after the Spring Festival is basically close to zero.

With the fermentation of epidemic events, it is conservatively estimated that the investment, sales, construction and completion of real estate development in the first quarter will be affected.

In addition, affected by the epidemic, most buyers will postpone the purchase plan, and the property market transaction will fall into freezing point, which will directly affect the sales return and cash flow of real estate enterprises. At the same time, the sales end has fallen sharply, the funds are under pressure, and the housing enterprises are also under debt repayment pressure, which is undoubtedly worse for those enterprises that are already facing greater financial pressure.

6. Offline retail

The outbreak of the epidemic has made the situation of offline retail enterprises more severe.

Under the impact of "new retail", many offline retail enterprises have struggled to survive in the cracks, and the outbreak of the epidemic has undoubtedly made their situation even more difficult. Shops in offline shopping malls rent hundreds of thousands every month, saying that there will be no guests without guests. If the epidemic is not contained in a short time, I am afraid that many offline retail enterprises and stores will not escape this robbery.

In addition, in the offline retail industry, many merchants have prepared a large number of tobacco, alcohol, tea, sugar and dried fruits in advance in order to lay out the Spring Festival Golden Week. Now, people have canceled the New Year greetings, and the new year's goods are seriously unsalable. People stay at home and have no psychological impulse to spend. Retail store owners need more time to digest these mountains of new year's goods.

Of course, the retail industry is actually a part of the national infrastructure to deal with major disasters. How to give full play to the convenience and closeness of community commerce and play an important role in food supply, stabilizing people's hearts and maintaining social order in an extraordinary period is also worth our thinking.

7. Manufacturing

Due to the delay in returning to work, reduced demand and increased transportation uncertainty, the epidemic situation is bound to have a certain impact on China's manufacturing economy.

On the one hand, the manufacturing industry itself will cause short-term production lag due to delayed resumption of work and slow circulation; On the other hand, the influence from consumption, service, import and export will also affect the manufacturing industry, which is manifested in the reduction of manufacturing orders and inventories.

Liu Xu, senior vice president of Zhongcheng Think Tank, said that the speed and speed of personnel returning to work are typical indicators to measure the influence of manufacturing industry. It is estimated that the speed and proportion of technology-intensive and capital-intensive industries such as automobiles, equipment and electronic communication are higher, while the two indexes of labor-intensive manufacturing industries such as textiles, clothing, toys, leather and furniture are lower.

Wang Peng, vice president of China Electronic and Information Industry Development Research Institute, also mentioned: "Especially, the labor force in these labor-intensive industries, many of which come from inland provinces, is difficult to move. Raw materials are the lifeline of manufacturing enterprises, and they cannot enter because of traffic control. "

In addition, manufacturing is a relatively asset-intensive industry. Even if the production and operation are partially stopped, the enterprise still needs to pay social security and taxes at this time to maintain the expenses such as rent, factory buildings and interest. Many small and medium-sized manufacturing industries are already heavily in debt and short of cash flow, which is relatively more affected.

8. Agricultural production

Farmers often say that people are wrong for a while and a year later. The time window for spring ploughing is very short. If it can't be cultivated at the right time, it will affect the harvest anyway.

The epidemic occurred around the Spring Festival, during the rural slack season. In principle, it does not have much impact on traditional agriculture, but it also has a certain impact on the sales of agricultural products such as vegetables and fruits stored in greenhouses in the north and years ago.

Although the price of vegetables in supermarkets in many cities is very high, it does not give growers much benefit. The reason why the price of vegetables in urban supermarkets has risen is actually because of poor traffic, which leads to the inability to transport vegetables in rural areas and the interruption of intermediate links, which leads to cabbage even exceeding the price of meat in some places.

In addition, many rural areas adopted measures such as "closing villages" during the epidemic, which also brought great inconvenience to vegetable transportation. In addition, people no longer go out to buy easily, and transport vehicles basically stop transporting. Therefore, the impact of the epidemic on agriculture still exists objectively.