Analysis question~~What are the unstable factors in my country’s surrounding security environment?

The North Korean nuclear issue in Northeast Asia; the security situation in Central Asia and South Asia; and the increasing military pressure in Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia. Judging from the current trend, these three aspects are unstable factors.

1. The situation on the peninsula is unstable. The uncompromising situation on the peninsula will affect China's years of uncompromising efforts to build a good surrounding environment for "peaceful development." North Korea's uncompromising response, triggered by rocket launches and new nuclear tests, was worse than usual.

Sino-Japanese relations are unstable. Japan is China's powerful maritime neighbor, and its uncompromising president is not unfaithful. After World War II, the United States and Japan formed a military alliance. Security alliances were redefined after the Cold War.

The security situation in Central Asia and South Asia is unstable. As the 2014 deadline for the withdrawal of NATO troops from Afghanistan approaches, the Afghan peace process remains stalled, while Pakistan's security situation is complicated by an increase in terrorist attacks and sectarian conflicts.

2. Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia continue to increase military pressure.

In Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia, China is facing increasing military pressure as neighboring countries continue to expand their armaments and military deployments.

The unstable factors in my country’s current security environment include: frequent corruption, lack of rule of law, and doubts about political security; geopolitical disputes and hegemonic interference pose threats to homeland security. At the same time, per capita resource possession is low, and foreign The import of energy has been affected in many ways, and the maintenance of resources is a long-term issue.

The United States has withdrawn from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, the denuclearization of the peninsula has not been substantively resolved, the risk of international nuclear material flows and illegal trafficking has increased, and nuclear security threats still exist.

3. China’s peripheral security environment is multi-faceted, involving military security, political security, economic security, non-traditional security, etc. Generally speaking, it refers to the peripheral security environment in the traditional sense, mainly Refers to the surrounding political and military security environment. Since China's peripheral actors and their interactions with China are always in the process of change and development, China's peripheral security environment cannot be static, but is a dynamic phenomenon. From a medium- to long-term perspective, the following factors are important variables that will affect the basic direction of China’s surrounding security environment in the future.

Characteristics of the world military strategic pattern: The world military strategic pattern refers to the relatively stable structure and situation formed by the interrelationships and mutual struggles between the major strategic forces in the world military field within a certain historical period.