Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Traditional stories - What is the traditional rational model?
What is the traditional rational model?
Content:
1, the decision-maker is faced with an established problem.
2. The purpose, value or goal of the decision-maker is clear, which can be sorted according to the importance of different goals.
3. Decision makers have more than two choices. Faced with these options, they usually choose one of them on a case-by-case basis. If the plans are basically the same, the same decision will usually be made.
4. For the same problem, decision makers will face one or more natural states. They are uncontrollable factors that are independent of human will. Or it can be said that the preference of decision makers will change with the change of time and space.
5. The decision maker will calculate the profit value (degree) or loss value (degree) of each scheme under different natural conditions, and after comparison, choose the best scheme according to the value preference of the decision maker.
Rational decision-making must meet the following basic conditions in practice:
1. All valid information must be obtained in the decision-making process.
2. Find out all the decision-making schemes related to achieving the goal.
3. It can accurately predict the results of each scheme under different objective conditions.
4, very clear about those who directly or indirectly participate in public policy making social value bias and its relative proportion.
5. You can choose the best decision-making scheme.
Analysis method:
1. Establish a complete set of operational objectives and give them weight.
2. Prepare a complete selection plan.
3. Establish a complete list of other values and resources and give them weight.
4. Make a complete forecast of the cost/benefit of each scheme.
5. Calculate the net expected value of each scheme.
6. Compare the net expectation value and choose the scheme with the highest expectation value.
Refer to Baidu Encyclopedia: 8W _ 82XY2IFXn5YZZWbx-JWPQEKVPWCNXGCM2AGMF-Gyofji9Arju-O _ 54Y9of7Qwing9A.
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