What is the future development prospect and direction of Lunan?

The future development of southern Shandong should focus on Linyi and Jining, make it bigger and stronger, and incite the economic development of the whole southern Shandong. Southern Shandong includes Heze, Jining, Zaozhuang, Linyi and Rizhao. The population of these five prefecture-level cities are: Heze 8.43 million; Jining 8.08 million; Zaozhuang 3.94 million; Linyi11240,000; Rizhao is 2.95 million; The total population is nearly 35 million, more than that of Chongqing, almost the population of a province.

With such a large population, the total economic output value in 20 17 years is only160 billion, which is roughly equivalent to the GDP of a second-tier city in China. It is not as high as Suzhou, an ordinary prefecture-level city, or even as high as Chongqing in the west. Chongqing has a population of 30 million, which is not as big as southern Shandong, and it is even more embarrassing than the per capita output value.

As Lunan with a good geographical position and barren land, this economic strength is really out of reach. Among them, Jining, Linyi and Heze, although their GDP can still rank among the top 100 prefecture-level cities in China, are nothing more than the accumulation of population. The population of these three cities exceeds 8 million, ranking among the best in the population ranking of prefecture-level cities in China, and if calculated by per capita output value, they are all lower than the national average.

With such poor economic conditions, it is impossible to achieve development in a short time. Only by promoting the development process of urbanization as soon as possible can we see the prospect. At present, among the five cities in southern Shandong, Jining and Linyi are expected to stand out, forming cohesion and attraction with the scale of big cities, and driving the development of the whole southern Shandong region. The driving role of big cities is self-evident. Shandong province divides southern Shandong into two urban agglomerations: Jizao River and Japan. In these two urban agglomerations, Jining and Linyi are bound to play a leading role and become the strategic growth poles of southern Shandong.

With the construction of Lunan high-speed railway, the five cities will be closely connected and become a two-hour urban belt. In the future, Lunan high-speed railway should be planned to connect Qingdao in Rizhao, and together with Ji Jiao high-speed railway and Shandong section of Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway, it will form Shandong inner ring road. Accelerate integration and mutual benefit, and completely change the status of economic depression in southern Shandong.

The future of Lunan is destined to be a confrontation between Jining and Linyi. In the short term, Jining will be ahead for some time. In the long run, Linyi will inevitably become the central city of southern Shandong. The reasons are as follows.

1. The development of a city depends on policy in the short term and population in the long term. In other words, as long as China's economy can grow steadily and urbanization can continue to advance, the population and quality of the future city will ultimately determine the future of the city. Jining has a population of more than 8 million, and Linyi11million. In terms of quantity, the sunshine in Linyi is more than that in Jining, and the quality is almost poor, so in the long run, the population of Linyi accounts for a great advantage.

2. At present, in the planned metropolitan area system of Shandong, southern Shandong is divided into Jizao-Heze metropolitan area and Riri metropolitan area. This division is purely administrative, and the real metropolitan area should be Jihe metropolitan area (including Tengzhou) and Ririzao metropolitan area. Moreover, Jining city can not effectively adsorb Zaozhuang and Heze, but Linyi's adsorption of Zaozhuang and Rizhao is real. Many people in Rizhao County and Zaozhuang City buy houses in Linyi.

The development models of the two cities doomed their future. Jining is a typical small horse-drawn cart, but the central city is too weak and the surrounding counties are too strong, while Linyi is just the opposite. In today's era of accelerated urbanization, the stronger the central city, the more it can attract talents, the more it can gather population and form a siphon effect. The herd economy in Shandong has caused the phenomenon that there are no peaks in the mountains of Shandong. Although Jinan finally figured this out, it was too late. Moreover, Lunan is far away from Jinan and Qingdao, and neither city can effectively absorb Lunan. Therefore, in the future, Jinan is a pole, Qingdao is a pole, and Linyi is the roof of the world, which can also be seen from the future planning of Shandong Province.

4. Fourthly, Linyi will become a hub city of high-speed rail in Shandong and even the whole country in the future, and the high-speed rail in southern Shandong will meet with the second lines of Jilin, Linlian and Beijing-Shanghai. By then, Linyi will become the south gate of Shandong in the true sense, and will further enhance the title of the current logistics capital. By then, Linyi's high-speed rail will not only promote logistics, but also promote the economy and attract investment.

So I think Linyi will inevitably become the central city of southern Shandong in the future, and Shandong will be divided into three parts with Jinan and Qingdao, but there is still a long way to go before this goal.

The Lunan high-speed railway will not bypass Zaozhuang. If the branch line is not built, Zaozhuang will directly become the Huaihai Economic Zone. In the future, it may go straight to Xuzhou and Zaozhuang will be dismembered. The geographical location of Jining is very important, but the radiation area is very limited. Their subordinate counties and cities are unattractive and seem to have a large population, but their cohesion is too weak. Linyi is indeed the future development center, but its industry is insufficient and its geographical location is very important. With the support of the province, it will develop very fast. Who will dominate the ups and downs in the future depends on the next generation. I come from Tengzhou. Tengzhou is not the center, but it is the center of every old tengxian. This is cultural cohesion.

The population is aging, and the future shrinkage is unstoppable. High-speed rail era, 5G era, market economy, freedom of population migration. The population is naturally concentrated. Lunan is close to Rizaoji River, and Heze has population and resources. Old Cao Zhou will get better and better. Rizhao, a prefecture-level city derived from Linyi, is the Lunan brother and the national logistics center. The next step is likely to be a merger in Japan. Zaozhuang, where the two counties are located because of coal, has a small area. Originally two counties in Jining, now it has become a county-level city, six districts and a prefecture-level city. Suffering from the change of map, moving to a new city, weak economy and long-term exhaustion of coal resources. Coal chemical industry is a polluting enterprise, sandwiched between Linyi, Xuzhou and Jining, and most of the high-quality population is sucked away by the three. When college students don't come back, they rely on educational resources to attract their own people and rely on resource transfer to gather the population. It is very likely to go back to Jining. Jining has a large population, a large circle and many resources. Jining people have always been smart. Lunan will form three prefecture-level cities. Will not form the so-called center. In this way, the abolition of two prefecture-level cities can save a lot of administrative expenses.

Jining's development has been in internal strife, and there are many planners with personality charm and verve.

To tell the truth, the geometric center of southern Shandong is in Zaozhuang, but Zaozhuang is a resource-exhausted city with a small area and a small population. Now its industrial base is weak, and the economy of Jining in Linyi is developing well, but the advantage of Zaozhuang is still on the Beijing-Shanghai line, with the Grand Canal and two golden passages. If it is close to Xuzhou and has convenient economic exchanges with Jiangsu, it belongs to one of the core cities of Huaihai Economic Zone. I believe that the future development is limitless. In particular, the industrial park between Xuecheng in Zaozhuang has a strong momentum, and the former Lu D is just around the corner. The new Zaozhuang Municipal Party Committee and Municipal Government are determined to achieve good development.

Jining has no confidence and can't hold back. Kyushu, the holy land. Jining said weakly, the canal.

Zaozhuang has excellent geographical conditions and will have a good development prospect.

The future development prospect and direction of Lunan are not for us ordinary people to decide. After all, if a city wants to have a future, it must first determine what a city wants to develop.

Linyi is a city with developed market and the largest logistics distribution center in Jiangbei. Zaozhuang, Linyi's old neighbor, has an earlier and stronger origin than Linyi's department store wholesale market. Facing the market, Linyi and Zaozhuang have different attitudes, which determines the future of a city. Two tigers are not allowed in one mountain. Linyi's big market has developed, and the once brilliant Zaozhuang's big market has vanished.

Linyi is more determined to take the road of market than Zaozhuang. If we want to maintain a big market, we must do a good job in matching products. Linyi can develop into the largest city in southern Shandong, and the big market can be said to be indispensable.

Linyi's industrial base, relying on market development, from the low-end to the current industrial upgrading and transformation, are all around marketing. If one day, even if the market does not exist, Linyi's industrial base will be improved and its competitiveness will be strengthened.

As a big coastal port city, Rizhao should theoretically become the third city in Shandong, or at least the strongest in southern Shandong. In fact, the economic strength of Rizhao is only a little stronger than that of Zaozhuang.

There are many reasons why sunshine has not developed. After all, the economic development of a city, the port is the future, the industry is the foundation, and Rizhao has been established for a short time. In the past, there was no model of development by administrative means, so we had to accumulate it slowly by ourselves.

Speaking of Zaozhuang, theoretically, Zaozhuang is the most potential city in southern Shandong. After all, in the early days of reform and opening up, Zaozhuang, a city with traffic advantages, has every chance to become the first city in southern Shandong.

Perhaps it is the coal resources that make Zaozhuang's life too comfortable and miss the opportunity of development and promotion again and again.

As for other reasons, perhaps our creativity and thinking logic are one step behind. It was not until the advantages of coal resources disappeared that Zaozhuang began to re-recognize itself and adjust its industrial structure.

Jining is a key city in southern Shandong, and the weakness of Jining's main city is its deviation from traffic arteries.

Jining is the city with the strongest high-tech enterprises in southern Shandong and the most dependent on coal resources.

Even the present high-speed railway in southern Shandong cannot enhance Jining's central position in southern Shandong, but Jining's treatment in the province is obviously higher than that in other cities in southern Shandong, which is also the basis for Jining's future development.

The future development direction of Jining may be the largest gathering place of high-tech enterprises in southern Shandong.

In the final analysis, there is no city in Luneng that can drive the development of Lunan. Linyi and Jining are surrounded by markets and high-tech, and Rizhao has ports. There are definitely the most opportunities for future development. As for Zaozhuang, we can only consider industrial innovation and transformation.

The future development of southern Shandong should focus on Linyi and Jining, make it bigger and stronger, and incite the economic development of the whole southern Shandong.