The pig price "flew" and broke its wings, falling by 7.8% in two days, and the northern market rebounded. Is the price of pigs going up again?

In recent days, domestic pig prices have suddenly changed face. Previously, the average pig price showed a trend of "flying". In the mood of rising market prices, the breeding end blindly pressed the bar and refused to sell, and the second fattening and large-scale pig enterprises controlled production. The price of pigs soared and the market showed a rocket-like rise. Since the end of June, the pig price has risen by 45% on average, and the domestic pig price has successfully risen above 165438 in a short time. The price gradually increased by 12 yuan/kg, but the sharp increase of pig price exceeded the market expectation and also violated the fundamentals of pig production capacity. Therefore, official regulation has emerged, and three measures have also stabilized pig prices in just two days. The domestic pig price "flies" and the pig price drops sharply!

Data show that on July 8th, the average price of live pigs dropped to 22 yuan/kg, and within two days, the price of live pigs dropped by 7.8%, with a drop as high as 1.85 yuan/kg. The market has fallen sharply. The price of live pigs in northern and southern regions of China generally fell by more than 1 yuan/kg. The price of live pigs in Northeast China has fallen sharply, and the price in Heilongjiang has dropped from 24.3 yuan/kg to 2654330. The Beijing-Tianjin market in North China fell to 22.5 yuan/kg, and the pig prices in Inner Mongolia and Shanxi successively fell below 22 yuan/kg!

In the southern market, the price of pigs is also low. In the traditional high-priced areas, the price of pigs has bottomed out, with Sichuan 22.3 yuan/kg, Jiangsu and Zhejiang 22.2~23.5 yuan/kg, Shandong 22. 1 yuan/kg, Henan 2 1.6 yuan, Guangdong 24 yuan/kg!

Under the influence of market regulation, the pig price has fallen sharply, which stems from the rebound of slaughter sentiment of large pig enterprises, the intensification of price reduction sentiment in slaughterhouses and the market decline. However, according to the feedback from the domestic market, although the pig price has fallen sharply, in the northeast and north China, the pig price has actually strengthened, and the pig price has shown the performance of "stopping falling and rebounding". The decline in pig prices in the southern market has gradually narrowed, and the market has "increased in the north and decreased in the south"

Personally, this round of pig prices plummeted, and the official regulatory factors were obvious. The mood of large-scale pig enterprises has deteriorated, the enthusiasm for slaughtering pigs has increased, the difficulty of purchasing slaughterhouses has weakened, the price reduction sentiment has intensified, and the market has shown a downward trend! However, due to the relatively flexible slaughter in retail pig farms and the recent slaughter procurement market, the domestic pig slaughter weight is about 124kg, which is about 6.3% lower than last year. Therefore, the pressure on retail pig farms is weak, and the market is still bullish, while some low-standard pigs that have been fattened twice have not yet entered the slaughter cycle. Therefore, the slaughter of large pig enterprises has not aggravated the follow-up mood of retail pig farms.

However, personally, the rebound in pig prices is difficult to sustain. After all, the official regulation is still exerting strength, and the National Development and Reform Commission will jointly carry out pork reserves in various places in the near future. Although the official regulation has weakened the profitability of retail pig farms and aggravated the feeling that some pig farms think they are quite expensive, due to the concern of large pig enterprises, pork storage will continue to be put in, and the consumer market is not good, and slaughterhouses have a strong wait-and-see mood and take the initiative to raise prices. Even if the pig price shows the performance of stopping falling and rebounding, however, because the pig price has not yet completed the regulation effect, the price still has the risk of falling, reminding farmers to be cautious and timely!

The pig price "flew" and broke its wings, falling by 7.8% in two days, and the northern market rebounded. Is the price of pigs going up again? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the pictures are from the Internet!

# Today's national hog price #