They all have to be sold at 50% off sale! It's 2023 Is it still worth it to buy a fuel car today?

"The problem of new energy vehicles has not been solved, and it does not pose much of a threat to fuel cars."

--"Professor has something to say" V0L.02 By: Zhang Hailing

First, Li Bin, founder of Azalea Motor, said, "In addition to the gasoline smell of the oil car, what else is good", and now the new energy vehicles to fight the price war, the fuel car can only be forced to follow. Fuel cars can only be forced to follow, subsidized posters, significant price cuts in the online crazy.

At one point, the price of fuel cars "collapsed", fuel cars "life is not long," the rhetoric rose. The development of new energy vehicles, especially plug-in hybrids, fuel and electricity prices, low energy consumption and no mileage anxiety, so that more and more consumers on the fuel car wait-and-see attitude.

To this end, today the professor would like to discuss a topic with you: 2023, fuel car is still worth buying?

According to the data of the passenger association, the annual retail sales of 20,543,000 units in 2022, of which 14,868,000 units of fuel vehicles and 5,674,000 units of new energy vehicles; the cumulative sales of 2,678,000 units in January-February 2023, of which 1,908,000 units of fuel vehicles and 770,000 units of new energy vehicles.

It can be seen that more and more consumers are indeed beginning to accept new energy vehicles, but it does not mean that most people have accepted, fuel vehicles are still the biggest base to support the sales of the entire industry at the moment.

On the one hand, compared with the new energy vehicles that have only emerged in the past few years, fuel vehicles have been developed for more than a century. For the mainstream family users, who account for the largest share of car buyers, safety is a top priority, while spontaneous combustion, loss of control, and automatic acceleration of new energy vehicles are constantly challenging this part of the consumer's confidence in purchasing a car.

On the other hand, there are still a lot of hard feelings about EVs throughout the vehicle cycle. First of all, it is the speed of replenishment, fuel car replenishment only takes 5 minutes, while most of the EV fast charging is 30-80% in half an hour, if you want to really full need more than 1 hour, in case of catching up with the holidays, encountered a queuing charging situation, and may even need a few hours.

And, at present, gas stations can be said to be blossoming all over the place, but the charging pile only in the first and second tier cities will be more dense, three or four tier cities later is less and less, at the same time, some of the old neighborhoods are not allowed to install charging piles. All these will greatly reduce the happiness of the whole cycle of car use.

Secondly, it is not affected by the geographic environment, China's winter temperature difference between the north and south is still relatively large, and the battery of the electric car affected by the cold weather, the range will be greatly discounted (80% off in the south, 6% off in the north), on the contrary, the fuel car impact is much smaller, there is no winter open without heating concerns.

The performance of the fuel car again, the performance here does not mean "green light, gas/electric door to the end of the rush out of the back feeling", but a car's comprehensive performance. A simple sentence is, "fast corners are really fast, who will not refuel in a straight line ah?"

In the same class, the electric car start acceleration is faster is an indisputable fact, fuel car zero hundred to do 7s level even if it is fast, and the electric car dual-motor version can basically enter the 3, 4 seconds club. However, if the battle line is stretched to run a complete track, electric cars need to face a greater weight, motor thermal degradation, reduced power to accelerate the impact of other factors, the general situation of the fuel car's performance will be a little better than the electric car.

Lastly, the value of the rate, according to J.D. Power data show that 43% of Chinese car owners on average 3 years to change the car, 5 years to change the car is more than 60%, and the current hot-selling new energy vehicles three-year warranty rate is mainly about 55%, the hot-selling fuel car three-year warranty rate of 65%, a roughly 10% difference between the two.

The key thing to point out is that many used car dealers mainly do Tesla, BYD, Azure, Xiaopeng, Ideal and other head brand models, other new energy brand models taking into account the difficulty of transferring there may be a "rejection" of the situation.

These are the temporary irreplaceable advantages of fuel cars, but also created more new energy vehicle watchers, they are thinking of buying a fuel car to drive for three or five years, and then switch to a new energy vehicle when the technology matures, it is not too late, the sales mentioned at the beginning can be a true reflection.

Just remember the unique scene in 2022: 92 gasoline into the era of 9 yuan. This has led to the emergence of a number of paragraphs such as "92 full, full of debt, 95 full, all the money, 98 full, three generations of repayment".

At the same time, last year, there are many countries and car companies have announced a ban on the sale of fuel cars, seems to be persuading consumers: new energy vehicles has been the trend, fuel cars time is running out. But despite this, the new energy penetration rate in 2022 rose to only 27.6%.

By 2023 it was even more aggressive, Tesla, BYD and other car companies directly hit the new energy car price war. "Oil and electricity the same price" has become the horn of their attack to the fuel car, "subvert the fuel car" has become the direction of their struggle.

This fierce attack, the fuel car had to release a series of subsidy policy, which also makes the recent fuel car price "crash", fuel car "life is not long," the rhetoric of the four.

But a closer look reveals that the fuel-vehicle follow-up "price war" is more like a promotion, excluding the individual phenomenon of "120,000 to buy C6, 50,000 to buy C3-XR" in Hubei. The other car companies that followed were more like selling cars by rubbing the heat off on them.

On the one hand, because the models originally have not small discounts, subsidized prices are actually only a few thousand more than the usual discounts; on the other hand, the "buy Toyota bZ4X to send the Wichita", "buy Honda Hao shadow to send the Fido" and other activities more gimmicks, for example, Honda Hao shadow to send the Fido. For example, GAC Honda Hao Ying plug-in version of the original can be discounted 68,000, while the beggar version of the Fidu starting price of 81,800 yuan, and do not forget Fidu also has a maximum of 6,000 yuan subsidies.

It is clear to everyone that the development of the industry is bound to require a stable price system, if you continue to reduce the price, there will inevitably be more "and so on the party", so there are already a number of brands have launched a price guarantee policy, such as Link, Ideal, Zero Run and other car enterprises.

In the professor's opinion, this is already the climax of the price war, and the new energy vehicle enterprises to play "oil and electricity at the same price" slogan, more in order to further harvest potential consumers.

The current fuel car and new energy vehicles is not a level playing field, even if this year's national subsidies launched, new energy vehicles also enjoy a free purchase tax policy, if 2024, new energy vehicles no longer enjoy free purchase tax, while fuel cars still have the above advantages, new energy vehicles, "oil and electricity at the same price" slogan can attract how many consumers? The new car will be the first in the world to be sold in the United States, and it will be the first in the world to be sold in the United States.

And, the high cost of new energy vehicles, profitability, infrastructure improvement are most of the new energy car companies need to face the problem, the current situation, the ability to control the cost of new energy car companies seem to be the only price war Tesla and BYD. To put it mildly, currently the cost of new energy vehicles can't come down, and fuel cars can't pose much of a threat.

Some time ago, the German government formed an alliance with six countries to boycott the European Union's proposal to ban the sale of fuel cars in 2035, the professor also made a specific analysis: as the economic pillar of the majority of the country, the time left for the transformation of the industry is too short, as well as too great an impact on the economy. That's why there is this "palace drama".

Of course, in order to fight for more transition time or for their own interests. We can see that the fuel car will not be so easy to eliminate, but the industry reshuffle is quietly accelerated.

Professor always believe that electrification is the trend of the future, but the fuel car is the current mainstream models is also a fact, in the EV range, charging, value retention, infrastructure and other issues to be perfected, new energy vehicles and fuel cars will still be entangled for a long time. As consumers, we will also benefit from this industrial upgrading.

So, the professor will still choose a fuel car in 2023, won't you?

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