Is new energy vehicle the future development trend?

New energy vehicles powered by electronic or hydrogen fuel, no fossil fuel combustion in the use of the process, will not pollute the environment, and therefore encouraged and supported by governments around the world, the following are the top ten trends of new energy vehicles in the future, take a look!

Trend forecast 1: production and sales spiral

Currently, China's new energy vehicle production and sales scale of the world's leading, the past three consecutive years to become the world's new energy vehicle production and sales of the first big country, the cumulative production and sales have exceeded 1.8 million units.

Which, in 2018, China's new energy vehicle production and sales reached 794,000 and 777,000 respectively, up 53.8% and 53.3% year-on-year, with a market share of 2.7%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points over the previous year

Although the skepticism is unavoidable, but under the support of the policy, new energy automobile momentum has been set, and will only continue to move forward. From the data, China's new energy vehicle market demand spiraled upward, 500,000 units in 2017, 800,000 units in 2018, while 2019 is expected to reach more than 1 million units, and 2020 is planned to be 2 million units.

The small target of 1 million production and sales volume is of landmark significance for China's new energy automobile industry, and if it is realized, it represents that the new energy automobile industry chain can begin to support the scale of a million.

Trend Forecast 2: New Energy Vehicle Industry Changes

The pattern of the new energy vehicle industry is taking shape. Guangzhou Automobile, BAIC, BYD, Geely and other traditional car companies are leading the way, at the same time, the new car-making forces represented by Azure, Weimar, Xiaopeng is wrapped in capital and technology to enter the decisive, walking on a completely different path.

Traditional car companies to accelerate the transformation of the layout

2019 BYD new energy vehicle global coverage of the city will be expanded from 200 to 400, the main push of 100,000 yuan below the micro-electric car. In addition, BYD will add 30,000 charging facilities next year.

Beijing Automotive New Energy released the "Optimus Prime Plan", which is planned for 2019 to 2022, with Beijing, Xiamen, Guangzhou and other cities radiating to expand the formation of each city's public **** travel operation platform and ladder energy storage operation and maintenance platform, built 1,000 switching power stations, operation of 100,000 units of vehicles.

Geely will develop a variety of electric models, hybrid models and plug-in hybrid models, and plans to launch more than five new energy models in 2019.

New car-making force finances plant

Azalea Auto, which has raised 14 billion yuan in financing, is preparing to build a production base in Shanghai. The company has hired eight banks, including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, to prepare for its U.S. IPO within the year, which is said to be in the range of $1 billion to $2 billion. In terms of factories, the company has already begun construction of a production base in Shanghai's Jiading district, with about 800 acres of planned land.

Williama plans to gradually bring more than one new car a year to market starting in 2019. The first production vehicles of Wilma will be launched in the middle of this year, and the new vehicles will be equipped with Baidu's Apollo system, priced at around 200,000 yuan, with a combined working range of up to 450 kilometers.

The new energy automobile industry is in a state of flux, whether it is the traditional car companies accelerating the transformation of layout, or the new car-making forces to finance and build factories, will promote the new energy automobile industry to a new prosperity.

Trend prediction 3:***shared cars have bright prospects and hidden dangers

Experiencing the boom and winter of ***shared cars, the advantages and hidden dangers of ***shared are self-evident. Most of the time-share cars on the market are new energy vehicles, and while the ability to return them as they are borrowed and have free reign attracts users, the mismatch between the number of charging piles and the number of ****shared cars, as well as the lack of return points, has led to low operational efficiency in the industry and a lack of ****shared car convenience.

Even so, Internet giants such as Mobay Travel, Dripping Travel, and Meituan, and traditional automobile manufacturers such as BAIC Group, SAIC Group, FAW Group, and Geely Automobile continue to enter the new energy ****享车 industry. It can be said that the independent operation faction relying on capital and the travel service pathfinder faction relying on vehicle manufacturers are the two main forces at present.

With the continuous expansion of the scale of operation of ****shared cars and the expansion of the operating area, ****shared car business difficulties and operating pressure continue to increase, the industry norms of operation needs to be strengthened, for example, the improvement of insurance, personalized programs for the enterprise or mandatory purchase of operating level commercial insurance, only to let the user worry-free, the future outlook for a long time to be optimistic.

Trend Forecast 4: Commercial Vehicles Take the Lead

There are two forms of human transportation: the flow of life and the flow of goods. In the field of new energy vehicles, commercial vehicles are expected to take the lead on the road.

The electrification of public transportation has been underway for many years, and the effective market for new energy buses is now close to saturation. Taxis and logistics vehicles, as areas of government procurement and urban traffic control, are expected to usher in a new round of electrification boom.

It is well known that the accepted way for big cities to solve the problem of personal travel transportation is to reduce private cars and vigorously develop the public **** transportation system. Similarly, the most effective solution to the travel of goods, the same is to create a "cargo transit system".

To solve the inherent shortcomings such as range, charging, loading capacity, etc., the "cargo delivery" system is perfect, logistics companies have a large number of vehicles is no longer necessary, the goods on a regular basis, fixed-point fixed route on the car, the station to arrive, the formation of a highly efficient, orderly, reduce the idleness and waste of the city's cargo capacity system, thus forming a new round of New energy boom.

Trend forecast 5: supporting industries gradually improve

During the two sessions, Minister of Industry and Information Technology Miao Wei publicly pointed out that: "charging infrastructure is still the short board of our development".

While the new energy vehicle industry is taking shape, the industrial chain is relatively complete, but with the continued growth of the number of new energy vehicles, the contradiction of inadequate charging infrastructure supply is increasing, the overall construction scale has been seriously lagging behind.

Data shows that as of the end of 2018, China's various types of charging piles reached 450,000, the car pile ratio is about 3.8:1, from the national planning of 1:1 there is still a big gap. Charging technology is the key to the development of electric vehicles, the future trend of electric vehicle charging will be "private AC charging piles daily slow charging" and "public **** fast charging supplemental power" combination of two ways.

The next step is expected to accelerate the construction of charging infrastructure, encourage wireless charging, smart charging, high-power charging technology innovation and industrialization, and support the construction and operation of hydrogen refueling stations.

Trend prediction 6:Combined with artificial intelligence, toward driverless

The scene in Fast and Furious 8 that was hacked to paralyze traffic is no longer science fiction. Artificial Intelligence + new energy = future cars. Internet of cars + new energy will revolutionize the way of travel, while eating hot pot while driving a car is no longer far away.

To this end, industry insiders suggest accelerating the study and introduction of operational policies, from the national level to accelerate the industrialization of self-driving cars to lay the legal foundation; strengthen the prevention of automobile hacking, key data is controlled by the huge risk; accelerate the deployment of self-driving vehicle operations, promote intelligent road infrastructure planning and construction, accelerate the transformation of self-driving cars oriented to a new type of urban traffic The environment of the new city transportation.

It is conceivable that in the future, a driverless car powered by electricity or solar energy or other clean fuels and operated by artificial intelligence will not only have the attribute of a "friend", but also be able to accompany you to chat and perceive your various emotions; it will also be your exclusive servant, who will run errands for you.

Trend Forecast 7: New Energy Technology Route with Chinese Characteristics

New Energy Vehicles include: Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEV), Pure Electric Vehicles (BEV), Fuel Cell Vehicles (FCEV), Hydrogen Engine Vehicles as well as Gas Vehicles, Alcohol Ether Vehicles, Solar Vehicles and other new energy type vehicles.

At present, the pure electric strategy is beginning to bear fruit, but the drawbacks are beginning to show. Therefore, the technical advantages of fuel cells, plug-in, and add-on programs as technological complementary solutions in certain application areas will receive more policy attention and support.

Focusing on the future, the focus will be on breakthroughs in the core technology of key components such as power battery, high specific power and high durability fuel cell stacks. Distributed renewable energy will become the main source of power generation, charging intelligence will trigger a huge change in the energy structure.

Trend forecast 8: power battery recycling system gradually improved

Currently, China's new energy vehicles power battery recycling there are many problems: 1. recycling laws and regulations are not perfect; 2. recycling system is not sound; 3. recycling technology and process level needs to be improved; 4. recycling cost is high, difficult to profit.

But at the same time, the new energy vehicle power battery recycling system to accelerate the formation of the "new energy vehicle power battery recycling pilot implementation program" is completed, which will be on the power battery structure design, connection, process technology, integration and installation of standardization to do a systematic sorting and regulations, while strengthening the waste power battery recycling, transportation, storage, etc. to develop the appropriate laws and regulations, and to further implement the Power battery coding system and traceability system.

At the same time to subsidize the way to regulate the recovery of new energy vehicle batteries. The recycling of power batteries for new energy vehicles will be gradually standardized, providing new growth momentum for the development of new energy vehicles.

Trend prediction 9: low-speed electric vehicles are making a comeback

Previously, relying on subsidy policy support, pure electric A0, A00-class market with low price, license advantage of the low-speed car market to form a certain impact, harvesting a large number of low-speed car users, but due to the adjustment of new energy vehicle subsidy policy in 2018, the mandatory upgrading of mileage range, the vehicle cost is expected to increase significantly. Some models that rely too much on subsidies will be eclipsed.

Meanwhile, low-speed electric vehicles are expected to make a comeback by virtue of the advantages of not relying on subsidies and not needing to be licensed for the time being, ushering in a new round of high-speed growth in third- and fourth-tier cities where traffic management policies are relatively lax, and occupying half of the country.

Low-speed electric vehicles have the strength to replace the same level of fuel vehicles, but the lack of technical standards and norms management, range of false standards, battery decay, small and medium-sized enterprise products without after-sales service is also a prominent problem, although occupies three or four tier cities, but the low-speed electric vehicles if you want to really win the recognition of the consumer groups, there is a broader development, still need to increase investment in after-sales service.

Trend forecast 10: channel model innovation

New energy vehicles a variety of sales and promotion model is endless, including direct, distribution, operation, etc., with the automotive channels and services online and offline integration, mainly in the new retail mode of e-commerce has become a new wind mouth.

But for different user groups, the channel model is different. Some analysis pointed out that the first and second tier market users are more concentrated, generally have experience in purchasing and using cars, to take the direct experience store model is more recognized; while the three or four tier cities users are relatively dispersed, and many first-time buyers, the traditional 4S store model trust is higher.

In addition, some vehicles and charging facilities operators by providing potential users with car or charging services, incidental sales of vehicles model is also being explored, which formed the entire industrial chain in tandem.