What is the development trend of the world pattern?

The development trend of the world pattern is:

1. The world pattern of "East Rising and West Falling" and "West Strong and East Weak" remains the same.

In the century-long changes, the most critical variable is the power comparison among major countries, among which economic strength is the most commonly used indicator to measure national power. At present, the process of emerging market economies and developing countries catching up with developed economies continues. The trend of "double-speed growth" between emerging markets, developing countries and developed economies remains the same.

Second, the big country game has evolved into a "parallel system" with limited communication.

Under the joint action of "objective" and "subjective" faults in the global industrial chain, the global economy may gradually form two systems in the industrial chain field. On this basis, the division and alliance among big powers will push the world forward to a parallel system involving a wider range of fields.

Third, the global economy has returned to medium and low-speed growth.

In 2022, the COVID-19 epidemic will still directly affect the future performance of the global economy, especially the frequent mutation of the virus increases the uncertainty of epidemic prevention and control and global economic recovery. If the vaccination imbalance between developed economies and poor countries continues to be serious, the global recovery will face greater resistance and may lead to a cumulative loss of 5.3 trillion US dollars in the global economic aggregate in the next five years.

Fourth, the traditional security situation in the Indo-Pacific region is becoming increasingly severe.

Judging from the geopolitical evolution trend, the global traditional security threats have generally risen, and the forms of war will also undergo major changes due to the application of new technologies such as drones. At present, the most influential and important security hot issues include the India-Pakistan conflict, the DPRK nuclear issue, the Iranian nuclear issue and the Ukrainian issue. These problems will continue or even escalate for a long time to come.

Verb (abbreviation of verb) State interventionism has been strengthened.

Judging from the evolution trend of political and social thoughts, the internal governance problems in some countries have increased, and the political polarization in developed countries has become more prominent, which may lead to large-scale political and social unrest. The more noteworthy trend is that more and more western developed economies pursuing the free market economy model return to the trend of state interventionism, which is mainly manifested in the prevalence of industrial policies, the abuse of national security review, and the politicization of international economic cooperation and policy coordination.