The core of futures trading long and short thinking conversion lies in the trade-off (to the current black system as an example)

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The core of futures trading is the trade-off between long and short-term thinking!

As we all know, the advantage of futures trading compared to stock trading is that you can make money by doing more, you can also make money by doing short, and do more than do short of no restrictions; but the difficulty is also here, because futures trading is the use of margin trading, while the use of the same day debt-free settlement system, which gives the position of the slightly heavier investors to increase the psychological pressure, plate A little bit of wind and grass on the loss, so that a little more, a little empty, and ultimately confused to lose money ~ ~ ~ ~

In fact, this is a very simple way to solve the problem, is to choose to do more short, do not think of more than empty can be done, must think of trade-offs, the futures market is not a lack of opportunities, and there is a leverage, do not have to seize every opportunity, as long as you grab the The first thing you need to do is to get a good deal on a new product or service.

At the same time, you can combine the Mandarin Commodity Index and the strength of the various varieties of plate to do a filter, the next I will use the recent black market, to do a demonstration, there are said to be in place, welcome to leave a message, together to discuss, exchange!

Share Case:

First of all, take a look at the overall operation of the Mandarin Commodity Index:

The weekly line is in the process of upward consolidation posture, the trend of the majority of the suspension; the daily line of the two consecutive weeks of weak consolidation, did not innovate, hovering in the location of the second highest point; 5-minute Friday night after jumping high after the opening of the successive gains, but Today's opening has been falling back, the small cycle trend is weaker; to summarize, Wenhua at the moment to continue to maintain the possibility of a strong long.

Secondly, take a look at the black system of the main varieties of the trend of the situation, in which the strongest (coke) and the weakest (iron ore) of the two varieties to make a comparison:

Coke: Speaking of coke at the moment, I have to say that one of the details about the transaction is that, in some key time nodes, such as the old and the new contracts on the occasion of the alternation, be sure not to be too much trouble to the main contract and the moment of the new contract. The new main contract is about to be replaced with a strong and weak comparison, which is more conducive to the grasp of the trend of the market.

Coke 09 contract (a few days ago or the main contract, just replaced by the 01 contract):

Weekly long trend; daily long trend; 5-minute small cycle of today's large fluctuations, but the overall trend of the long position is strong; to sum up, coke's near-term contract long trend is stronger.

Coke 01 contract (the current main contract, the last few days just replaced the 09 contract to become the main contract):

Weekly just broke through the upper edge of the consolidation range, but the recent trend of the long trend is not strong, two consecutive weeks to close on the upper shadow line; the daily in the long trend of consolidation, the last few days closing did not succeed in creating new highs, the long trend is slowed down; 5-minute mini-cycle intraday is also a significant consolidation, but the rebound is weak. But the rebound is weak.

In summary, although the overall trend of coke is stronger than the Mandarin Commodity Index, the new main contract long position is weaker than the previous contract, and whether it can continue to maintain the strong rise in the previous period, we still need to further confirm the market.

Iron ore (iron ore main contract change is relatively early, take 01 contract as an example):

Weekly short posture, the fourth consecutive weekly negative, from the former low is relatively close; daily continuous decline in recent days after the short posture is suspended; 5-minute mini-cycle fluctuations in a large number of short and long is not clear; in summary, the iron ore is in a short posture, but from the former low is closer, and at the same time, the recent consolidation in the short position, the short position is not clear. Consolidation trend, the short trend is suspended, whether it can continue, but also need further confirmation of the market.

Summary: do futures trading in the choice of varieties, must first be filtered through the Mandarin Commodity Index, the recent Mandarin Commodity Index high consolidation in such a consolidation, do more than short are justified, then we take the strategy is to do more than do the strongest, do empty empty the weakest, but taking into account the comparison of the far near future contract, the forward contract than the near future contract is weak, and ultimately choose to give up! The coke single, choose to operate a position in the iron ore empty single, although if you do more coke, do empty iron ore will earn more, but the resources and capabilities of individual investors are limited, superimposed on the two varieties of the later, the winning rate will be reduced, as well as to choose a variety of their own grasp of the operation.

Outlook:

The black market outlook for the future market: taking into account the Wenhua Commodity Index's recent trend of the long trend is suspended, while the black system in addition to the overall trend of the double coke is weaker, and the current trend of the double coke contract is also weaker than the previous contract, so the focus will be on the black system of the empty single opportunity. Taking into account the short can not do the strongest, combined with the black system varieties of the current location and trend of the strength of the weak, so the follow-up in addition to iron ore single, will continue to pay attention to the thread of the empty single opportunity.

Rebar's current trend:

Weekly in the process of rising back down, the daily face a small structure of the short break, 5-minute small cycle of today's substantial fall, while the black plate today the largest varieties of decline; summing up, the Wenhua trend if you continue to consolidate or fall under the premise of focusing on the daily structure of the rebar whether it is able to break through effectively!

Disclaimer:

The futures market risk is unpredictable, trading please be careful, this article only represents the views of the author, any organization, individual reference to this article to do any act of direct or indirect loss, the author does not assume any responsibility.