20 16 what is the position of sino-us relations?

In 20 16, there will be many twists and turns in Sino-US relations-old contradictions will continue to exist and new conflicts will emerge. However, cooperation is still the mainstream of China and the United States, and the package of risks that plague the relations between the two countries is generally controllable.

Subject to the US election, Sino-US relations are facing twists and turns. 20 16 is an election year in the United States, and the elections within the two parties have been heated up. There is no doubt that Hillary will win in the Democratic Party, but * * * and the party are in chaos. Therefore, only after the candidates of the two parties are clear can we more clearly evaluate the impact of the general election on Sino-US relations. * * * and the party, real estate tycoon Trump has been guiding public opinion, which makes * * * and the party very troubled. Among the candidates of 14, Trump is an unreasonable and unreliable candidate. If this person finally competes for the presidency on behalf of * * * and the party, it will not only be a disgrace to * * * and the party, but also a satire on the American democratic system. Trump's declaration of big mouth, anti-immigration and racial discrimination is comparable to that of Marie Le Pen of the French far right. Not surprisingly, this person may be dismissed by * * * and the party at the last minute with normal rules.

In any case, China will always be the goal of the American election year. Candidates of both parties are used to attacking China to get more votes. Candidates from both parties in the United States have already done so. Hillary criticized China for sparing no effort, and Republicans scrambled to blame China. Because China's strategic strength is stronger than before, the United States has regarded China as the world's primary rival. Therefore, the candidates of the two parties are not the toughest on the China issue, only tougher. This tough policy statement will be reflected in the South China Sea, Taiwan Strait relations and cyber warfare. However, this is just an American election strategy. No matter who the candidates of the two parties are elected, the China policy will still return to rationality. Apart from a reasonable, favorable and restrained response, China should not pay too much attention to the drama that hurt China in the American election.

New changes have taken place in the game between China and the United States in the South China Sea. On the last day of 20 15, ASEAN was established, and the United States had another ally in the Asia-Pacific region who could clench his fist. This * * * body is composed of 10 ASEAN countries, with a population of nearly 700 million and a total economic output of 2.8 trillion US dollars, although economic cooperation is the mainstay. However, due to the island sovereignty conflict between relevant countries and China, the United States will also use this contradiction to make waves in the South China Sea. Before the establishment of the * * * identity, other countries were relatively neutral to the conflict in the South China Sea, except those with sovereignty disputes with China. But with the platform of ASEAN, ASEAN countries may speak with one voice. This means that ASEAN * * * is likely to become an ally of the United States in a packaged way. From the trend point of view, the South China Sea game between China and the United States shows that the strategic strength of the United States to China is strong, while that of China is relatively weak. Under this situation, it is worth paying attention to whether China-US relations can maintain a relative balance. Nevertheless, the United States will not take the risk of "World War I" with China.

The geo-economic game between China and the United States is fierce, but it will not be antagonistic. With the entry into force of the US-led 12 TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement), the game of multilateral free trade areas in the Asia-Pacific region will become more intense. TPP or RECP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) is dominated by China, with bilateral and multilateral free trade agreements criss-crossing, and geo-economic conflicts are unsustainable.

When the world enters the Pacific Ocean, China and the United States will compete anyway, but neither country will pursue a zero-sum game. Out of the "Thucydides Trap", the Pacific Ocean is the real peace.