Present situation and development prospect of geological survey industry

The national comprehensive exploration area determined according to the evaluation results of national mineral resources potential has become the leader of prospecting breakthrough. In 20 12, new deposits 135 were discovered in 78 comprehensive exploration areas, including 33 large-scale deposits and 52 medium-sized deposits. Since the implementation of the strategic action of prospecting breakthrough, the headquarters of the strategic action of prospecting breakthrough has focused on the key exploration areas designated by the national important mineral aggregate prediction project, highlighting the shortage of uranium, iron, copper, aluminum, lead, zinc and gold, as well as the dominant minerals such as antimony, rare earth and magnesite, and designated 47 national comprehensive exploration areas on 201kloc-0/. Relevant research shows that there are various metal mines 106 18 in China, most of which were built in 1950s and 1970s. After half a century of mining, there are nearly 10000 aging mines, and the proportion of mines exceeding the original design service life 10 year is as high as 8000. Many mine resources are exhausted, which leads to a serious shortage of reserves and the production of enterprises is in trouble. By 2020, less than 20% of the mines can sustain production. China is in the middle stage of industrialization development, and the market demand keeps growing. The depletion of resource supply intensifies the contradiction between it and the fast-growing mineral demand. The urgent task is how to alleviate this contradiction.

capacity of the market

With the coming of 2 1 century, all aspects of social economy have entered a new stage of development. China's economy is huge and its development speed is amazing. The rapid development of mining industry in China and the sharp increase in demand for mineral resources have promoted the increase of supply. While providing raw material guarantee for industrialization and urbanization, the problems of low recovery rate of mineral resources, high resource consumption, intensified shortage and high dependence on foreign countries are becoming increasingly serious.

The total investment in geological exploration in 20 12 years is125.92 billion yuan, including 749 10 billion yuan for oil and gas mineral exploration and 510/400 million yuan for non-oil and gas mineral exploration. In 20 13 years, the investment in mineral exploration in China has been greatly reduced, only 42.55 billion yuan. In the first half of 20 14, the investment in geological prospecting in China decreased year-on-year, and the proportion of social investment decreased. In the first half of 20 14, the national investment in non-oil and gas geological exploration was153.4 billion yuan, down 7% year-on-year. Among them, the central financial investment was 3.68 billion yuan, the local financial investment was 56.5438+0./kloc-0./billion yuan, and the social capital investment was 6.55 billion yuan, accounting for 24.0%, 33.3% and 42.7% of the total investment respectively, increasing by 0.6, 4.2 and 4.8 percentage points respectively over the whole year of 2065.438+03. The state * * * granted 596 exploration rights at a transfer price of 65.438+600 million yuan; 842 cases of mining rights transfer, the transfer price is 65.438+66 billion yuan. From the way of transfer, 234 cases of exploration right and 736 cases of mining right were transferred by bidding, auction and auction, accounting for 39.3% and 87.4% of the total transfer amount, respectively, which were higher than 20 19.8 and 14.4 percentage points in the same period, and the decisive role of market allocation of resources was further revealed.

market structure

With the development of mineral geological exploration, the investment growth rate of mineral geological exploration is also accelerating, and it shows obvious stage characteristics. The registration of exploration rights is unprecedentedly active and tends to be adjusted and stable, and the newly discovered mineral areas and new resources are growing simultaneously and rapidly. The development of geological prospecting has mainly experienced three periods, the initial period is the low period of geological prospecting; With the recovery of mining market, exploration investment has gradually picked up, and geological prospecting has shown an upward trend in recent years; At the same time, the price of mineral products continues to rise, market prosperity and favorable policies are superimposed, financial investment and social investment are increased, and geological prospecting activities are unprecedentedly active. With the increase of drilling workload and the continuous adjustment of mining right management policies, the fixed fees tend to be stable in the exploration investment structure, the real and effective exploration investment keeps rising, and the phenomenon of blindly applying for exploration rights has been controlled to some extent. At present, the basic pattern of low-level mining development in China has not changed fundamentally, but with the optimization of economic structure and the rapid growth of resources, strengthening mineral geological exploration and improving the comprehensive utilization level of resources have become the development trend of geological prospecting industry.

Foreground forecast

The investment level of geological exploration depends largely on the trend of mineral prices. Affected by the slow recovery of the world economy and the slowdown of domestic economic growth, the "golden period" of China mining industry ended in 20 13, and the price of mineral products continued to fall, which directly led to the reduction of investment in geological exploration. It is worth noting that in order to actively promote the implementation of the strategic action of geological prospecting breakthrough, the state has continuously increased its investment in mineral exploration, and the central government's investment in mineral exploration is still increasing. Under the favorable policy of "adjusting structure and stabilizing growth" and the general trend of China's economy gradually picking up, with the strong support of the central financial funds, China's mineral exploration situation will definitely break through the "encirclement" of the overall investment in geological prospecting and usher in a new stage of development. It is predicted that the investment in geological and mineral exploration industry will also enter a new investment climax, reaching the scale of 654.38+084.35 billion yuan in 2020.

Opportunities and challenges

The development of geological prospecting industry is in a historical period in which challenges and opportunities coexist. From the domestic and international background, the global demand for mineral resources is still growing, and in the long run, the development of mining industry is expected to be good; With the development of China's economy and society, the importance of geological work is constantly improving, and the construction of ecological civilization has brought new and broad development space for geological work. From the process of reform and development, a series of measures taken by the central government have effectively promoted the development of geological prospecting industry, the market-oriented geological work system has been continuously improved, major breakthroughs have been made in geological prospecting, the field of geological work has been continuously expanded, and the economic growth rate of geological prospecting has exceeded the social average.