How does the French election affect the situation in Russia and Ukraine?

The impact of the French election on the Russia-Ukraine situation:

Starting in February, Macron has repeatedly mediated the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has led to a significant rebound in his approval rate, which was once over 30 percent. Su Hao, director of the Center for Strategic and Peace Studies at the Foreign Affairs College, pointed out that out of the strategic pursuit of European autonomy, as well as the political choice to keep a distance from the United States, Macron has tried to play a role in mediating the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Although temporarily constrained by the West's so-called political correctness, he will once again reach out to Russia when the time is ripe.

On the other hand, the New York Times noted that Le Pen sees Russian President Vladimir Putin as an ally and said her victory could exacerbate Biden's difficulty in isolating Russia and aiding Ukraine.

Su Hao, on the other hand, argued that forming an alliance with Russia would not be an option for Le Pen right now, but given that France and Russia have historically had a certain ****similarity in terms of maintaining strategic stability on the continent, it's worth observing whether the two sides will do something in this regard after she's elected.

Macron's polling advantage

The election is divided into two rounds, the first round of voting on April 10, scorching, Macron's vote rate exceeded Le Pen only about 5%, and did not get more than half of the votes, which will also make the upcoming "decisive battle" is full of uncertainty. uncertainty. However, the latest poll conducted by the polling organization Ipsos shows that Macron's support rate has reached 56%, while Le Pen is 44%.

In addition, the two also in the evening of 20 local time, the last TV debate, around the purchasing power, European affairs, the retirement system and diplomacy and other issues to start a fierce attack and defense, the debate totaled nearly 3 hours.

While the debate was full of gunpowder, Le Pen also tried to play down her right-wing image, but an Elabe poll released after the debate showed that 59 percent of viewers thought Macron was more persuasive in the debate, significantly exceeding Le Pen's 39 percent.

References above Upstream News - French election showdown! Macron or Le Pen? How it affects the Russia-Ukraine situation