Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Traditional festivals - What are the entry analysis methods of stock investment?
What are the entry analysis methods of stock investment?
The basic analysis method evaluates the investment value and reasonable value of the stock by analyzing the macroeconomic situation, industry situation and company operating conditions that determine the intrinsic value of the stock and affect the stock price, and compares it with the stock market price, thus forming trading suggestions.
The basic analysis includes the following three aspects: macroeconomic analysis. Study the impact of economic policies (monetary policy, fiscal policy, tax policy, industrial policy, etc.). ) and economic indicators (GDP, unemployment rate, inflation rate, interest rate, exchange rate, etc. ) In the stock market. Industry analysis. Analyze the influence of industry prospect and regional economic development on listed companies. Company analysis. Analyze the industry status, market prospect and financial situation of listed companies in detail.
Introduction of stock investment analysis method II. Technical analysis method
Technical analysis method analyzes the trend and predicts the future from the aspects of stock volume, price, time to reach these prices and volume, and the space of price fluctuation. At present, K-line theory, wave theory, shape theory, trend line theory and technical index analysis are commonly used, which will be analyzed in detail later.
Three quantitative analysis methods of stock investment approach analysis
Quantitative analysis is to use mathematical and computer methods to analyze stocks, so as to find out the probability of ups and downs.
A. Trend judgment Quantitative investment strategy: Judging the trend is a high-risk investment method, and the corresponding investment operation is carried out by judging the trend of the market or individual stocks. If the trend is upward, do more; If the trend is judged to be downward, short it; If the trend is consolidation, sell high and suck low. The advantage of this method is high rate of return, and the disadvantage is high risk. Once you make a mistake, you may lose a lot. Therefore, the trend investment method is suitable for investors with high risk tolerance, and they will also have the opportunity to obtain high returns when taking big risks.
B. Quantitative investment strategy of volatility judgment: The essence of judging volatility investment method is to try to eliminate systemic risks and earn steady income. The main investment method of this method is arbitrage, that is, the operation of buying one or n varieties and selling another or n varieties at the same time, which is also called hedging transaction. This method can obtain relatively stable returns no matter which direction the market fluctuates, rises or falls. In a bull market, the yield of this method will not exceed the benchmark, but in a bear market, it can avoid big losses and have some good returns.
Stock index futures arbitrage is a hedging operation between stocks and stock index futures, commodity futures are between different futures varieties, statistical arbitrage is between related varieties, and option arbitrage is a hedging operation between call options and put options.
Four evolutionary analysis methods are introduced for stock investment analysis.
Evolutionary analysis is based on evolutionary securities theory, taking the life movement characteristics of stock market fluctuation as the main research object, dynamically tracking the direction and space of stock price fluctuation, and providing the opportunity sum and risk assessment method for stock trading decision.
Evolutionary analysis shows that there is a strong biological evolutionary logic behind the operation of the stock market, and all market behaviors are widely restricted by the laws of biological evolution. As long as we observe the market from the perspective of "biological instinct" and "adaptation and competition", we can find ideas, clues and methods for sustainable profit.
The true face of the stock market, a classic of evolutionary analysis, analyzes the internal mechanism of the stock market operation in detail and systematically by using evolutionary thought, and points out that "adaptation and competition" are the leading force of the stock market operation and the driving force to promote the market development. Different from the related assumptions of modern finance, such as "rational person" and "efficient market", evolutionary analysis attaches importance to the study of "biological instinct" and "competition and adaptation", and emphasizes the important position of human nature and market environment in the evolution of stock market. Abandoning the mechanistic way of thinking and idealized assumptions, we think that the stock market is a complex adaptive system based on human nature and evolutionary laws, and there is a strong biological evolutionary logic behind its operation; Stock market fluctuation is essentially a complex and changeable "life movement", not a pendulum-like "mechanical movement" in traditional economics. Its typical characteristics (intrinsic attributes) include metabolism, profit-seeking, adaptability, plasticity, stress, variability and rhythm. This is the fundamental reason why the fluctuation of the stock market has certain rules to follow and it is difficult to quantitatively describe and accurately predict.
Tips for wise choice: The above are several analysis methods for the introduction of stock market investment, hoping to help investors. If you are still worried that you can't correctly grasp the investment direction in the stock market, then learn the introductory analysis method of stock investment quickly! Through scientific analysis and reasonable argumentation, I will point out the investment direction in the stock market for you.
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