What month is the traditional pork season?

During the month of 65438+ 10, the pig price after the National Day holiday did not decrease due to the decrease in consumption. After all, with the support of many factors, the price of pigs is also rising seasonally. Judging from the hog market all over the country, the average price in Northeast China is RMB 12.97, which is close to 13 yuan, and that in Guangdong is RMB 13.65.

The peak consumption season is approaching, and whether the live pig market can continue to rise in the future is expected to break through the 14 yuan mark in June.

First of all, the influence of state regulation.

Generally speaking, the country has been in a state of stable prices and guaranteed supply. As the peak season of the next market demand, the follow-up regulation will be further strengthened, and the price increase of live pigs in the follow-up market is still controllable. Under the influence of national purchasing and storage on pig prices, the subsequent pig prices will be stable to a certain extent.

Second, the influence of both supply and demand.

On the whole, the supply of live pigs in China is basically maintained at a certain sufficient stage, and the increase in pig prices is largely determined by market demand. With the gradual change of market conditions, the price of live pigs will gradually tend to a reasonable price range.

Judging from the market consumption, the current price of pork is maintained at around 18 to 20 yuan, and high-priced pork has a certain inhibitory effect on market consumption. The previous holiday consumption belongs to inertia consumption, and the difficulty of pork delivery in the market is further increased.

Third, the change of pig structure.

For the phenomenon that the price of live pigs has risen rapidly, many people in the industry believe that this is the performance of price overdraft in advance.

After all, judging from the price of live pigs, the structure between the price of fat pigs and piglets has changed to a certain extent, especially under the weakness of frequent national policies, the market in June-July is almost the same as it is now, and it is unlikely that the overall price will continue to rise. After all, under the national policy and market regulation, short-term rise does not mean continuous rise in the future.

Based on the above analysis, with the arrival of the peak of market consumption in the fourth quarter, it has played a certain supporting role in the rise of pig prices, but with the regulation of pork consumption by national policies, the market will also be affected in a short time. As the peak consumption season, the increase in demand for enema and pickling plays a certain role in maintaining pig prices.

At both ends of supply and demand, the pig price is still high, but in the case of relatively weak overall consumption and high price in peak season, the increase and market expectation will be low.

Personally, I think the price of live pigs will continue to fluctuate and strengthen in the short term, especially in the middle of 10, and 10 is unlikely to break through the 14 yuan mark. After all, the short-term market price increase does not mean the subsequent continuous increase.

In this regard, farmers should arrange slaughter in a reasonable and orderly manner to maximize the benefits of farming.