What is the future development trend of express delivery industry in China?

First, the trend of rapid development. In 2005, the turnover of express delivery industry in China increased by 25% year-on-year, and it is estimated that the growth rate will be around 30% in the next five years. The main reasons for the rapid growth are: first, there is market demand; The second is the improvement of the carrier's equipment level in the express delivery industry; Third, the impact and pull of the international express delivery industry.

The second is the development trend of traditional postal service to logistics service. First, the service function has changed from a single function to a multi-functional comprehensive service; Second, the service customers are mainly transferred from ordinary families to industrial and commercial enterprises; Third, the objects of express delivery have expanded from ordinary letters and parcels to documents and goods, and commodities such as electronics, medicines, books, auto parts and high-grade daily chemicals have become new objects in the express delivery industry.

Third, the diversified development trend of express delivery enterprises. In the ownership structure, there are state-owned enterprises such as China Post Express (EMS), China Railway Express and Civil Aviation Express. There are also private companies, such as ZJS and Shentong Express. There are also foreign capitals, such as United Parcel Service (UPS), FedEx, DHL and TNT, which form a tripartite confrontation. International express delivery is dominated by foreign capital, while domestic express delivery is dominated by state-owned enterprises and private enterprises. At present, urban private express delivery accounts for about 90%, and inter-provincial private express delivery accounts for about 50%.

Fourth, the trend of the combination of express delivery industry and e-commerce. Without the support of logistics industry, e-commerce can't realize its function. At present, many e-commerce businesses, especially international e-commerce businesses, are completed by courier companies.

Fifth, the trend of increasing concentration. It is very obvious that international express delivery giants expand their market share in China by acquiring domestic enterprises. The domestic state-owned express delivery industry is also expanding its strength through restructuring, such as the restructuring of China Railway Express and China Railway Luggage, China Post Express and China Post Logistics, and so on. There are 50,000 private express delivery enterprises with a population of one million, and the annual turnover exceeds 654.38+000 billion yuan. Obviously, they are "scattered, small, weak and poor". In the future, differentiation and reorganization are inevitable, and the survival of the fittest is an objective law.